NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x830700a5c4858a265820cb5b917cc34490290dd579ca9978b72e81c923062f92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $759,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $800,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $759,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Grizzlies | 3c | 61,108$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.78 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Timberwolves | 55c | 53,195$29,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,129.54 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Timberwolves | 51c | 33,124$16,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,141.11 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 30,371$13,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,639.71 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 32c | 29,066$9,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,168.74 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Grizzlies | 44c | 22,311$9,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,839.09 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Timberwolves | 69c | 20,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Grizzlies | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.99 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadae…a7a2backed Timberwolves | 59c | 18,821$11,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,716.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…d302backed Grizzlies | 41c | 18,821$7,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,716.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…1ed9backed Timberwolves | 68c | 16,210$11,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,180.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 14,463$7,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,555.33 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Grizzlies | 54c | 12,500$6,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,775 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Grizzlies | 48c | 10,660$5,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,092.3 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 10,508$5,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,847.39 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Timberwolves | 64c | 9,513$6,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,397.26 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Grizzlies | 22c | 9,262$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.04 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,409.97 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Timberwolves | 54c | 8,292$4,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,786.33 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 8,187$4,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,003.18 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Grizzlies | 37c | 8,000$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Timberwolves | 55c | 7,730$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,478.68 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Grizzlies | 31c | 7,367$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.29 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Grizzlies | 48c | 7,260$3,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,507.56 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 7,200$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Grizzlies | 33c | 6,206$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.58 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 5,888$4,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.42 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +9.7wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Grizzlies | 1c | 5,688$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Timberwolves | 54c | 5,440$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ca…691fbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 5,222$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,023.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Timberwolves | 52c | 5,152$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.75 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Timberwolves | 60c | 5,099$3,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.63 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Grizzlies | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.98 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Grizzlies | 6c | 4,749$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Grizzlies | 7c | 4,564$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Grizzlies | 15c | 3,991$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.76 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 3,750$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.49 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Timberwolves | 51c | 3,733$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.62 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Grizzlies | 24c | 3,513$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.03 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Grizzlies | 32c | 3,400$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Grizzlies | 48c | 3,150$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Grizzlies | 54c | 3,080$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.28 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Grizzlies | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Grizzlies | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,953$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.3 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Timberwolves | 51c | 2,936$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.46 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Grizzlies | 31c | 2,933$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.09 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 39c | 2,694$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.67 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 2,675$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.97 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Timberwolves | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.94 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Grizzlies | 12c | 2,449$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.95 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Grizzlies | 12c | 2,400$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.2 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 2,330$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.12 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Grizzlies | 2c | 2,309$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Grizzlies | 6c | 2,180$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…479fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 2,159$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.51 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Timberwolves | 56c | 2,122$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.99 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Grizzlies | 31c | 2,111$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.63 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 2,033$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.91 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Timberwolves | 54c | 2,011$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Grizzlies | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Timberwolves | 48c | 1,794$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.03 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Timberwolves | 56c | 1,763$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.8 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Grizzlies | 52c | 1,720$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.4 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…f541backed Grizzlies | 12c | 1,676$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,589$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.26 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…e9cdbacked Grizzlies | 38c | 1,504$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Grizzlies | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.75 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…5078backed Timberwolves | 67c | 1,494$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.98 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Grizzlies | 35c | 1,409$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,320$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,200$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 1,200$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.98 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,198$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,185$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.18 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3db…945cbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Grizzlies | 44c | 1,172$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.12 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Grizzlies | 43c | 1,114$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.46 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Grizzlies | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Timberwolves | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,080$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.8 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Grizzlies | 52c | 1,045$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.4 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Timberwolves | 54c | 1,044$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.4 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Grizzlies | 27c | 1,019$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.32 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Grizzlies | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 56c | 1,000$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.6 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Timberwolves | 54c | 915.97$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.35 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Timberwolves | 54c | 833.96$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.41 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…9c51backed Timberwolves | 55c | 786.15$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Grizzlies | 12c | 779.26$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9970…6b92backed Grizzlies | 45c | 763.18$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.