College Football · resolved market
Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9b9793e7972399d039ba6041cdd562a356fcdf9c7f58051e6c75f2a605ef74c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansas Stateof Arkansas State, Bowling Green
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Bowling Green | 57c | 28,979$16,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,469.96 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Arkansas State | 45c | 15,214$6,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,320.59 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Arkansas State | 73c | 10,208$7,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Arkansas State | 42c | 9,132$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,329.65 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bowling Green | 37c | 8,637$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,201.95 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bowling Green | 26c | 7,744$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.9 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8d…46babacked Arkansas State | 50c | 4,952$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bowling Green | 1c | 3,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…3e5fbacked Bowling Green | 76c | 2,801$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Arkansas State | 67c | 2,790$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.22 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Bowling Green | 1c | 2,683$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bowling Green | 65c | 2,499$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.65 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Bowling Green | 1c | 2,453$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Arkansas State | 49c | 2,225$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 69cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Bowling Green | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Bowling Green | 24c | 1,964$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.4 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06f3…f169backed Arkansas State | 24c | 1,800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +227.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bowling Green | 3c | 1,783$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Bowling Green | 64c | 1,497$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Arkansas State | 60c | 1,444$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.78 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd187…2ce1backed Arkansas State | 61c | 1,226$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Bowling Green | 55c | 1,182$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Arkansas State | 37c | 1,069$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.57 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…a179backed Arkansas State | 35c | 1,033$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +144.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…0108backed Arkansas State | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaed…de05backed Arkansas State | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa483…c2b6backed Bowling Green | 76c | 986.19$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Bowling Green | 78c | 863.32$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.39 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdd…64a7backed Arkansas State | 44c | 853.19$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Arkansas State | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Arkansas State | 24c | 762.75$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.69 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Arkansas State | 44c | 681.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed Bowling Green | 70c | 600$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Arkansas State | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Arkansas State | 41c | 569.09$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Arkansas State | 60c | 555$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…f525backed Bowling Green | 75c | 530.18$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Arkansas State | 25c | 517.44$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.47 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +84%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…d7fcbacked Arkansas State | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…abd2backed Bowling Green | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bowling Green | 66c | 500$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.5 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bowling Green | 18c | 499.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.47 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5237…89babacked Arkansas State | 24c | 480$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Arkansas State | 26c | 405.07$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Arkansas State | 51c | 400$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Bowling Green | 67c | 380$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…d384backed Bowling Green | 42c | 367.31$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Bowling Green | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Arkansas State | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Bowling Green | 73c | 299.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…4fddbacked Arkansas State | 65c | 280.85$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe4…1996backed Arkansas State | 35c | 259.34$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bowling Green | 74c | 250.13$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Arkansas State | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d38…2122backed Arkansas State | 75c | 225.73$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…62d2backed Bowling Green | 5c | 223.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Bowling Green | 76c | 216.66$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.66 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…f97abacked Bowling Green | 73c | 206.93$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Arkansas State | 24c | 205.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.81 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Arkansas State | 24c | 201$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.69 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…9f73backed Bowling Green | 7c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Bowling Green | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…5b44backed Arkansas State | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Arkansas State | 23c | 199.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.96 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Arkansas State | 46c | 185.71$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.71 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Bowling Green | 28c | 179.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed Arkansas State | 37c | 175.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.89 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…a3b9backed Arkansas State | 25c | 160.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…167abacked Arkansas State | 44c | 155.23$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Bowling Green | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Bowling Green | 78c | 142.67$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.29 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…dc84backed Bowling Green | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Arkansas State | 40c | 139.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.06 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Arkansas State | 38c | 118.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Bowling Green | 76c | 118.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…bb26backed Arkansas State | 80c | 111.75$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Arkansas State | 23c | 107$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Arkansas State | 63c | 103.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bowling Green | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Bowling Green | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce73…70a9backed Arkansas State | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Bowling Green | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Arkansas State | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Arkansas State | 39c | 93.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb068…7bf1backed Bowling Green | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270f…a7c9backed Arkansas State | 27c | 92.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Bowling Green | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked Arkansas State | 37c | 79.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Arkansas State | 23c | 76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Arkansas State | 23c | 76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb69…69d6backed Arkansas State | 27c | 74.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Bowling Green | 43c | 67.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Bowling Green | 76c | 59.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…82b5backed Bowling Green | 77c | 58.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…1c67backed Arkansas State | 25c | 55.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +198%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20af…efadbacked Bowling Green | 76c | 54.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…ee73backed Arkansas State | 27c | 53.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…866dbacked Bowling Green | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc9…7c59backed Bowling Green | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…fe86backed Bowling Green | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.