TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71c0…fd11

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
158
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2025, EDT5339.6%21 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$22.79
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.7
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+270.1%+$513.23
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+210.8%+$353.91
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.65
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+197.9%+$196.62
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$322.35
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$179.13
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.95
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.2
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.63
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.94
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$12.12
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.2
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.36
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+186.8%+$268.41
76ers vs. Thunderbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.18
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.33
Wizards vs. Trail Blazersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.61
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.51
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$219.43
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$224.78
Hawks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+100%+$84.03
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$56.48
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+37%+$22.79
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2025, EDT3333.3%11 W · 22 L-5.8wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-41.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.82
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$20.62
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.52
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$22.89
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$13.99
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.23
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.24
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.42
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$179.43
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.59
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$66.39
Red Wings vs. Capitalsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.65
Flames vs. Maple Leafsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.55
Devils vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Utah vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.72
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$32.94
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+41.1%+$5.01
Golden Knights vs. Sabresbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.03
Panthers vs. Bruinsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.51
Golden Knights vs. Penguinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.08
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$10.39
Oilers vs. Sabresbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Wild vs. Canucksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$32.19
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$19.95
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2025, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.21
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+57.8%+$22.88
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.75
Will Crystal Palace vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$207.59
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$13.82
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.33
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.89
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.36
Will Brentford vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.43
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$616.55
Will Arsenal vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$784Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$783.75
Will Leicester win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$205.52
Will Everton win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$358.24
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+84.3%+$227.14
Will Ipswich win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$32.21
Will Brighton win on 2025-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+203%+$21.58
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$121.33
Will Fulham win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$60.18
Will Ipswich win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$161.68
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25.36
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+57.2%+$19.3
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+52.9%+$17.64
Will Brentford win on 2024-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$17
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Marlins vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.11
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.62
Braves vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$13.95
Marlins vs. Giantsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.46
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.04
Red Sox vs. Angelsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.48
Brewers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.15
Cardinals vs. Philliesbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.56
Brewers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$37.36
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$16.07
Cardinals vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.26
Brewers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+86.4%+$25.54
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$32.5
Red Sox vs. Royalsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$13.83
Cubs vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Giants vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$7.75
Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.49
Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+61.7%+$15.1
All 18 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST1315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14.52
Duke vs. Ole Missbacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$19.69
Penn State vs. Boise Statebacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40.09
South Carolina vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+150.6%+$76.38
Louisville vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$24.36
Syracuse vs. Washington Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$13.11
Georgia Tech vs. Vanderbiltbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$107.7
Oklahoma vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+122.6%+$73.59
Arkansas State vs. Bowling Greenbacked Bowling Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$29.71
Rutgers vs. Kansas Statebacked Rutgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$136.69
South Florida vs. San José Statebacked San José State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$13.31
California vs. UNLVbacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$96.21
Western Kentucky vs. James Madisonbacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$84.75
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST80%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.45
Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $61-70m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$401
Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross less than $45m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$39.07
Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $53-61m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$95.29
Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross more than $70m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$29.55
Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $45-53m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$28.21
Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross between $150m and $170m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross more than $170m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$40
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California Baptist vs. UT Arlingtonbacked UT Arlington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+138.1%+$15.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$19.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.