NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Jazz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88300055ff6f4b91d683382104a9f4da38394afcd7b9859a905fd05c936ddd49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2379…9ac8backed Jazz | 17c | 17,076$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,974.43 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 62c | 15,568$9,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,926.46 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Jazz | 39c | 12,849$5,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,009.52 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Jazz | 31c | 11,511$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,533.14 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x706f…a645backed Jazz | 20c | 10,031$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…a759backed Grizzlies | 80c | 10,021$8,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7a…83f6backed Jazz | 20c | 10,017$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5134…b00cbacked Grizzlies | 80c | 10,010$8,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz | 36c | 9,742$3,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,513.41 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 9,451$6,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.48 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Grizzlies | 72c | 5,326$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.49 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Jazz | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Jazz | 18c | 3,659$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.49 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Grizzlies | 75c | 3,500$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.62 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Grizzlies | 76c | 3,500$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Jazz | 34c | 2,976$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.36 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Grizzlies | 71c | 2,801$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.93 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Jazz | 5c | 2,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Jazz | 25c | 2,432$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Grizzlies | 67c | 2,388$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.39 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Jazz | 18c | 2,053$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.58 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Jazz | 1c | 2,050$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Grizzlies | 70c | 2,039$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.68 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Grizzlies | 75c | 2,018$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.69 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Jazz | 3c | 2,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Jazz | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Grizzlies | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…7684backed Jazz | 24c | 1,919$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.03 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Jazz | 17c | 1,900$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Jazz | 1c | 1,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Jazz | 18c | 1,800$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.99 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Grizzlies | 67c | 1,717$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.4 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Jazz | 35c | 1,709$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.19 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Grizzlies | 66c | 1,625$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.44 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Jazz | 19c | 1,555$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.42 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Jazz | 27c | 1,442$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.04 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…b899backed Jazz | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Jazz | 19c | 1,383$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.85 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz | 22c | 1,319$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.27 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Jazz | 8c | 1,300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jazz | 22c | 1,254$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.33 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…d541backed Jazz | 46c | 1,194$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Jazz | 1c | 1,158$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Grizzlies | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Jazz | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Grizzlies | 74c | 957.41$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.43 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Grizzlies | 72c | 947.39$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.69 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Jazz | 17c | 889.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Jazz | 18c | 877.19$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 802.44$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.1 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Jazz | 18c | 800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Jazz | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Grizzlies | 68c | 756.5$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.94 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Grizzlies | 67c | 750$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Grizzlies | 78c | 692.6$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.51 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Jazz | 22c | 626.94$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.52 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Jazz | 18c | 626.87$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 350 | 50.6%177 W · 173 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Jazz | 19c | 600$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.14 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Jazz | 27c | 550$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0766…3e65backed Grizzlies | 55c | 547.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.27 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…82c7backed Jazz | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Grizzlies | 70c | 507.35$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.21 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Jazz | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Jazz | 18c | 499.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…6864backed Jazz | 48c | 455.84$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.63 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba44…9d13backed Jazz | 2c | 435.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Grizzlies | 70c | 429.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.93 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Grizzlies | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Jazz | 36c | 394.72$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.1 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Grizzlies | 55c | 370.91$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.91 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Jazz | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…066dbacked Jazz | 14c | 265.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…d964backed Grizzlies | 54c | 258$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.72 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ac…5e6ebacked Jazz | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -12.1wins | -0.17per pick | 20cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Grizzlies | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Jazz | 13c | 250$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Jazz | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Jazz | 46c | 228.24$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Grizzlies | 78c | 224.73$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Grizzlies | 70c | 214.39$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Grizzlies | 79c | 210.06$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…e34ebacked Jazz | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 188.12$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe79d…650dbacked Jazz | 18c | 173.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…b8f6backed Jazz | 19c | 163.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Grizzlies | 78c | 155.87$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Jazz | 28c | 137.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Grizzlies | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Jazz | 18c | 119.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Jazz | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6c…c389backed Jazz | 19c | 118.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Grizzlies | 50c | 114$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef93…79f2backed Jazz | 18c | 114$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Grizzlies | 80c | 112.58$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Jazz | 37c | 112.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Jazz | 25c | 109.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Grizzlies | 79c | 104.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 210 | 62.9%132 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…5532backed Jazz | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Jazz | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.