TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b35…a749

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
595
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST36423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 364 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+426.3%+$355.81
Bulls vs. Pelicansbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+51.5%+$25.74
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+151.1%+$25.62
Trail Blazers vs. Thunderbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43.75
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50.1
Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$35.29
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+900%+$225
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+376.2%+$75.24
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+376.2%+$62.72
Wizards vs. Raptorsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Wizards vs. Raptors: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20.47
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Showing 25 of 364 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST12623%29 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 126 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United vs. Everton: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Manchester United vs. Everton: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Arsenal vs. Tottenham: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+185.7%+$278.57
Arsenal vs. Tottenham: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+290.1%+$317.09
Will Leeds United vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$153
Will Newcastle vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100.77
Will Liverpool vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+257.1%+$128.57
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Brighton vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Liverpool vs. Nottingham Forest: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Wolves vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Burnley FC vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Burnley FC vs. Chelsea: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Brentford vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Brighton win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nottingham Forest vs. Leeds United: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+143.9%+$93.54
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+187.8%+$187.84
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$22.48
Will Wolves win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.68
Will Aston Villa vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Showing 25 of 126 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST4619.6%9 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$280.12
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$16
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
SSC Napoli vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Olympique de Marseille vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+63.9%+$25.57
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.68
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Barcelona vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$127.22
Will Arsenal vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Inter vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$120.1
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.48
Will Aston Villa vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Barcelona vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$114
Will Arsenal vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Will Bayern Munich vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.82
Will Benfica vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$70.34
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+85.2%+$40.22
Will Bayern Munich vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Feyenoord vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$112.9
Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Lille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+308.2%+$151
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.22
Will Tottenham vs. Bodo/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will Athletic Club vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United vs. Lyon end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+300%+$75
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Rangers win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.15
Will Athletic Club vs. Rangers end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ajax vs. Union St. Gilloise end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$72.6
Will Galatasaray vs. AZ Alkmaar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+233.3%+$51.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2025, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan vs. Auburnbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$282.77
Colorado State vs. Marylandbacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.08
Creighton vs. Auburnbacked Creighton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
McNeese State vs. Purduebacked McNeese State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Bryant vs. Michigan Statebacked Bryant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.64
Troy vs. Kentuckybacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.2
Mount St. Mary's s vs. Dukebacked MSM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Colorado State vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Robert Morris vs. Alabamabacked Robert Morris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
UNC Wilmington vs. Texas Techbacked UNC Wilmington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2025, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-84.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+90.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+60.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Ohio State vs. Texasbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+43.6%+$79.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+178.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+178.9%+$198.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Marino vs. Cyprus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carney say "Carbon Tax" during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.