MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x618ea455e94a220b38f8c153ffca5d2235c462d28fdd93eee68f2430a4afd8e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 33c | 4,789$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 18c | 4,708$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.87 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Nationals | 57c | 3,478$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.99 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Nationals | 28c | 2,481$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.45 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Marlins | 63c | 2,314$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.93 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Nationals | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Marlins | 47c | 1,991$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.23 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nationals | 13c | 1,937$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Marlins | 45c | 1,406$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.15 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Marlins | 46c | 1,319$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.39 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Nationals | 35c | 1,243$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.44 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nationals | 53c | 1,211$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.6 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 42c | 1,183$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.03 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Nationals | 55c | 1,059$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Marlins | 45c | 1,013$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.89 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marlins | 62c | 1,007$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.51 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Marlins | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nationals | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Marlins | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 36c | 977.92$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.21 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Marlins | 70c | 932.64$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.29 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Nationals | 22c | 890$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Marlins | 47c | 852.44$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.44 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Nationals | 61c | 800$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.94 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Nationals | 50c | 750$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Nationals | 26c | 707$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.68 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Marlins | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.26 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Marlins | 41c | 686.73$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.17 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nationals | 53c | 585.28$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Nationals | 29c | 569.24$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.63 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Marlins | 66c | 558.57$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.63 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Marlins | 46c | 447.3$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.54 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Marlins | 41c | 444.94$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.78 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Nationals | 34c | 425.43$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.65 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Nationals | 61c | 393.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.33 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nationals | 63c | 349.53$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.2 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Nationals | 55c | 349.29$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.11 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Nationals | 53c | 330.19$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nationals | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nationals | 50c | 313.1$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.02 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Marlins | 37c | 267.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.79 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Nationals | 58c | 255$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Marlins | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…81f0backed Nationals | 52c | 232.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nationals | 53c | 222$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.66 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 52c | 208.72$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.55 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Nationals | 21c | 192.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…5febbacked Marlins | 65c | 190.88$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Nationals | 66c | 180.46$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.41 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Nationals | 45c | 177.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nationals | 63c | 163.93$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.28 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Nationals | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…754fbacked Nationals | 26c | 162.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Marlins | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…d6e3backed Nationals | 59c | 132.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 51c | 129.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…f295backed Marlins | 57c | 129.24$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Nationals | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Marlins | 74c | 126.55$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Nationals | 58c | 122.07$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Marlins | 32c | 118.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…2dd4backed Marlins | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6979…d7a2backed Nationals | 51c | 113.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Marlins | 45c | 112.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…ba49backed Nationals | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Marlins | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Marlins | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Nationals | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Marlins | 46c | 94.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a9…e358backed Nationals | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…e7ddbacked Marlins | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 169 | 83.4%141 W · 28 L | +20.1wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Nationals | 34c | 86.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Marlins | 77c | 83.44$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Nationals | 44c | 82.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 42c | 81.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Marlins | 46c | 78.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…ad95backed Marlins | 46c | 75.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Marlins | 45c | 72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Marlins | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Marlins | 48c | 69.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Nationals | 55c | 69.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Marlins | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nationals | 61c | 65.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ee…4c0bbacked Marlins | 48c | 59.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Marlins | 71c | 59.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Nationals | 43c | 57.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9edb…7959backed Nationals | 54c | 57.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Nationals | 55c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Nationals | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 38c | 50.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Nationals | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Nationals | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1,156.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…609fbacked Marlins | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.