TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf47d…f295

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. NC Dinosbacked Doosan Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.56
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked Doosan Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.35
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankeesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$31.11
Athletics vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.99
Diamondbacks vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+34.1%+$6.31
Royals vs. Padresbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.11
Orioles vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$69.16
Angels vs. Oriolesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.22
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+75.9%+$55.77
Reds vs. Tigersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$38.95
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$137.31
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+33.5%+$11.87
White Sox vs. Rangersbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.33
Yankees vs. Red Soxbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$397.04
Rockies vs. Bravesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$208.82
Blue Jays vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$39.63
Pirates vs. Cubsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+150%+$47.52
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.93
Tigers vs. Oriolesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.77
Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$18.73
Athletics vs. Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$208.51
Braves vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.93
Cubs vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.56
Marlins vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.06
Reds vs. Guardiansbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+150%+$150.74
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$151.8
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$101.28
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$206.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$659.44
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$107.69
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.98
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 3 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+41%+$57.96
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.56
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.26
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$117.58
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.54
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+165%+$31.6
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$481.81
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick34cpaid+360.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+400.6%+$317.01
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$917Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$916.56
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$989Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$369.96
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.27
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+2,712.1%+$976.69
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 5-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$791Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$791.28
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 8-11%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$84
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$50.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick63cpaid-63.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.72
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+88%+$26.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.9
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+244.8%+$204.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.