MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88ed394d0bb017619ac810fdc92c0870178c0d18fbe192df0e8b979928e06c33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Reds, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $443,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $427,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $443,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Reds | 38c | 134,646$50,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,979.09 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Tigers | 71c | 85,677$60,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,967.34 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Tigers | 61c | 61,744$37,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,489.5 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 29c | 58,386$16,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,511.39 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Tigers | 62c | 50,000$30,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,971.83 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Tigers | 62c | 39,999$24,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,799.38 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 39c | 35,653$13,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,923.87 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Reds | 36c | 29,666$10,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,134.64 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Reds | 37c | 13,969$5,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,788.76 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…49a5backed Tigers | 65c | 13,011$8,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,394.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Tigers | 63c | 5,871$3,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,701.97 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Reds | 38c | 5,553$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,443.01 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Tigers | 61c | 5,482$3,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,343.91 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Reds | 39c | 5,363$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,271.4 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Tigers | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 46c | 3,743$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Reds | 45c | 3,617$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.46 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Reds | 38c | 3,333$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.46 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Reds | 38c | 3,333$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.46 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Reds | 41c | 3,333$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.47 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 34c | 3,208$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.65 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Tigers | 2c | 2,971$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Reds | 56c | 2,743$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.13 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Reds | 55c | 2,098$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.26 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Tigers | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Reds | 38c | 2,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.98 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Reds | 42c | 1,876$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.87 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Reds | 35c | 1,781$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.78 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Tigers | 64c | 1,704$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.99 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tigers | 20c | 1,605$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.31 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Reds | 54c | 1,579$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.09 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Tigers | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Reds | 38c | 1,437$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.09 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Reds | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Tigers | 2c | 1,297$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Tigers | 17c | 1,278$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.63 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Tigers | 1c | 1,255$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Reds | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.63 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Reds | 37c | 1,044$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.72 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Reds | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Reds | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Tigers | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tigers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…754fbacked Tigers | 5c | 958.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Tigers | 2c | 907.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Tigers | 26c | 829.19$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.33 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Tigers | 61c | 791.13$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.2 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Reds | 38c | 722.89$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.19 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Tigers | 59c | 633.65$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.85 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Tigers | 23c | 608.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Reds | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Tigers | 46c | 576.26$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.27 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…069abacked Reds | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Tigers | 60c | 499.26$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Tigers | 51c | 496.83$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Tigers | 62c | 480.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Tigers | 62c | 470.52$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.72 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Tigers | 4c | 457.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Tigers | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Tigers | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Tigers | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Tigers | 20c | 382.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Reds | 27c | 369$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.37 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 30c | 363.93$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed Tigers | 62c | 354$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.48 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Tigers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Reds | 8c | 344.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +300.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…ea41backed Tigers | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.36per pick | 58cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Tigers | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…609fbacked Tigers | 11c | 307.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Reds | 37c | 304.98$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.14 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Tigers | 62c | 295.48$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.2 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 62c | 270.95$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.75 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Reds | 39c | 256.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.76 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…8757backed Tigers | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 61c | 247.29$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.43 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Tigers | 61c | 242$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.62 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Tigers | 61c | 223.28$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Tigers | 49c | 221.39$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Tigers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Reds | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Tigers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…7554backed Tigers | 33c | 195.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Tigers | 68c | 165.19$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743f…47e9backed Reds | 37c | 160.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.06 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Reds | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Tigers | 62c | 154.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Reds | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Tigers | 63c | 142.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Tigers | 62c | 140.79$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Reds | 38c | 131.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.46 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Reds | 37c | 122$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Reds | 38c | 115.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.79 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Reds | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Reds | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d27…c006backed Tigers | 69c | 102.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.