TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdeb6…8f5d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
554
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Macro Indicators, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Macro Indicators at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST8139.5%32 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$134.68
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2025 NL MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$85.8
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the NL West Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.06
Will the San Diego Padres win the NL West Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.61
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.92
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.56
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the NL West Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.09
Will the San Francisco Giants win the NL West backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.64
Cubs vs. Cardinalsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$17.7
Athletics vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.6
Athletics vs. Tigersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$203.07
Will Aaron Judge hit a home run against the Reds on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.22
Mets vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+90.7%+$117.09
Red Sox vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+78.1%+$142.11
Nationals vs. Dodgersbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.58
Guardians vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$225.67
Pirates vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.66
Cardinals vs. White Soxbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+68.9%+$244.72
Rockies vs. Nationalsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$337.05
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+138.9%+$57.01
Red Sox vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.69
Angels vs. Yankeesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+194.3%+$105.79
Rockies vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$187.21
Yankees vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+31.9%+$20.24
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST6618.2%12 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-46%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.29
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.58
Trump removes income tax on individuals making <$150k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.37
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$976.18
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$132.82
Will Trump end DOGE in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+335.6%+$583.47
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$172.7
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+95.6%+$67.55
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.47
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.23
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.47
Will Trump visit Israel before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$47.7
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$244.81
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+91.3%+$143
Will turnout be between 1100000 and 1200000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.62
Will turnout be between 1000000 and 1100000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.42
Will turnout be between 900000 and 1000000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.15
Will turnout be less than 900000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.54
Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be 45% or higher in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.8
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.58
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$426.51
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.4
Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,243Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+372.7%+$4,632.55
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$242.56
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$597.65
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST5315.1%8 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cat 3+ hurricane hits Miami in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$169.94
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95-0.99ºC in June 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.75
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.14ºC in June 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.91
Will the highest temperature in London be between 73-74°F on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+171%+$192.01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.27
Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.3
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+91.8%+$106.67
Will the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.55
Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.19
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Will the highest temperature in London be 69°F or below on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.62
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+787%+$201.34
Will the highest temperature in London be 66°F or higher on June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.58
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+230.7%+$70.64
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.87
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 89-90°F on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 87-88°F on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.44
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 91-92°F on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 93°F or higher on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.39
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 85-86°F on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.84
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.6
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.92
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 86°F or higher on June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.37
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.62
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST4318.6%8 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+1,943.7%+$812.43
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$119.59
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$361.42
Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$262.1
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$634.25
Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$510.41
Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$64.94
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$85.91
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20.25
Will Alternative win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.43
Bolsonaro guilty?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.41
Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.56
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+148%+$106.11
NDP member appointed to the Canadian cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.19
Will LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.49
Lee Jae-myung arrested before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.56
Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendumbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.77
Italian solidary responsibility of the client, contractor, and subcontractor for injuries referendumbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.24
Will valid votes be more than 38 million in South Korean election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.6
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.64
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.27
Will Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+256.3%+$763.41
Will Kim Moon-soo win between 30% and 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.51
Will Kim Moon-soo win between 25% and 30% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.43
Will Kim Moon-soo win between 35% and 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+92.4%+$133.09
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT3923.1%9 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.03
Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+1,227.9%+$439.41
Will Diddy be sentenced to life in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.2
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+252.8%+$503.75
Will "Maybe Happy Ending" win the Tony for Best Musical 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.56
Will Cole Escola win the Tony for Best Leading Actor in a Play 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.51
Will Jon Michael Hill win the Tony for Best Leading Actor in a Play 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.09
Will George Clooney win the Tony for Best Leading Actor in a Play 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.42
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$253.55
Will another country be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.72
Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.29
Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.06
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.98
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+75%+$12
Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.33
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.11
Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.01
Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+180.5%+$38.03
Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+352.9%+$168.16
Will Latvia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.77
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.18
Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+525%+$117.86
Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.49
Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.93
Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$228.94
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT3315.2%5 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+60.8%+$174.48
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$357.43
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.46
Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.29
Will Ben Shelton win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.46
Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$356.2
Will Tommy Paul win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will Alexander Zverev win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$143.88
Will Alexander Bublik win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.44
Will Lorenzo Musetti win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.81
Will Daniil Medvedev win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.12
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Evans vs. Paulbacked Evans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+282.1%+$305.02
Boss Open: Shelton vs. Leheckabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$307.07
Boss Open: Engel vs. Auger-Aliassimebacked Engel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.43
Boss Open: Rinderknech vs. Fucsovicsbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$178.34
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.99
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$423.7
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+327.9%+$514.85
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,121.59
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$355.57
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 French Open? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$488.14
French Open: Andreeva vs. Boissonbacked Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+241.7%+$115.78
French Open: Keys vs. Gauff backed Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.02
Will Holger Rune win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.99
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Shelton backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.04
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT2512%3 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denny Hamlin win The Great American Getaway 400?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$15.77
Will George Russell win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.39
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$178.17
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.43
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.89
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.99
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.98
F1 Canadian Grand Prix: Red Flag? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+30.6%+$48.63
F1 Canadian Grand Prix: Safety Car? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$143.72
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.2
Leclerc vs. Russellbacked Russell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.26
Albon vs. Sainzbacked Albon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.52
Hamilton vs. Russellbacked Hamilton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.17
Hamilton vs. Leclercbacked Hamilton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.35
Verstappen vs. Piastribacked Verstappen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.23
Verstappen vs. Norris backed Verstappen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.1
Piastri vs. Norris backed Norris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$208.07
Will Kyle Larson win the 2025 Coca-Cola 600?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.22
Will George Russell win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.52
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.83
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.14
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Monaco GP pole? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+515.9%+$599.76
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Monaco GP pole? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.28
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco GP pole? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.75
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2025, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal win Group H at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$160.23
Will Real Madrid win Group H at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.17
Will RB Salzburg win Group H at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.66
Will Real Madrid beat RB Salzburg?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.95
Al Hilal vs. Pachuca: 4+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$15
Will Inter Milan vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+38.8%+$12.71
Will Benfica vs. Auckland City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.2
Will Flamengo beat Chelsea?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.48
Will Inter Miami vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$226.33
Will FC Porto beat Inter Miami?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+220.3%+$619.24
Will Inter Miami beat FC Porto?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+495.9%+$1,260.63
Inter Miami vs. FC Porto: 3+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$171.4
Will Real Madrid beat Al Hilal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.2
Will Real Madrid vs. Al Hilal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$419.9
Will Al Hilal beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$343.94
Will Monterrey vs. Inter Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+299.4%+$88.27
Will Inter Milan beat Monterrey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+188.7%+$188.68
Will PSG beat Atlético Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$211.52
Will PSG vs. Atlético Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+37%+$3.99
Will Atlético Madrid beat PSG?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.27
Will Inter win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.74
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT219.5%2 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick26cpaid-75.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jalen Williams Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.3
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$523.68
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+292.1%+$107.26
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.56
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.18
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.13
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.63
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$626.83
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.79
Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.07
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.86
Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$189.9
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.9
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$510.56
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.61
Pacers vs Knicks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.18
Pacers vs Knicks: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.73
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.53
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.18
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.4
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$377.88
All 21 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick23cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+106.2%+$18.32
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$66.97
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+310%+$708.19
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.97
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.6
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$371.16
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$289.79
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.19
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+179%+$622.07
Will a dozen eggs be between $4.50-4.75 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+293.6%+$65.46
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.77
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+295.1%+$824.25
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$266.22
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$289.42
Will "M3GAN 2.0" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $16M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$57.42
Will Will "Elio" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 75-79?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.03
Will "Elio" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 70?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.02
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $99m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.2
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80-84?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$272.48
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross $23m or more but less than $26m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.05
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $140-150m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+329.1%+$743.78
Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross more than $75m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.09
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. backed Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$224.08
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Bahamondesbacked Bahamondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$299.36
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Kunievbacked Kuniev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.31
UFC Fight Night: Musayev vs. Orolbaibacked Orolbai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+62.1%+$47.91
UFC Fight Night: Sadykhov vs. Mottabacked Motta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.67
UFC Fight Night: Naimov vs. Gradbacked Grad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.27
UFC Fight Night: Naurdiev vs. Parkbacked Naurdiev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.98
UFC Fight Night: Zhelezniakova vs. Mullinsbacked Zhelezniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+130.2%+$232.16
UFC Fight Night: Alekseeva vs. Sygułabacked Syguła · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+108.9%+$139.81
UFC Fight Night: Abdelwahab vs. Usmanbacked Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+206.4%+$741.67
UFC Fight Night: Ulanbekov vs. Maksumbacked Ulanbekov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$36.41
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2025, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada beat El Salvador?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.69
Will Saudi Arabia beat Haiti?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$283.49
Will USA beat Trinidad and Tobago?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.44
Will Mexico vs. Dominican Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.97
Will Belgium vs. Wales end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+372.1%+$682.61
Will Spain beat Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$253.29
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+223.4%+$133.75
Will Albania beat Serbia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+37%+$65.07
Will Serbia vs. Albania end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.58
Will Serbia beat Albania?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+79.7%+$65.95
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Congress authorizes military force against Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.81
Will Iran declare war on Israel before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.1
Congress authorizes military force against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.53
Will Khamenei leave Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$252.16
Qatar military action against Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.29
Iran strike on Qatar today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,169.62
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.93
Another Israel military action on Yemen in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.92
Israel military action against Iran before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$323.48
Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.19
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$233.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick24cpaid-81.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BLAST.tv Austin Major: MOUZ vs. Vitalitybacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$362.66
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Virtus.pro vs. Vitalitybacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.72
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Aurora vs. MOUZbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.66
BLAST.tv Austin Major: The MongolZ vs. FaZebacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.49
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Liquid vs. Lynn Visionbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.24
BLAST.tv Austin Major: G2 vs. 3DMAXbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$193.52
Will MOUZ win the IEM Dallas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.68
IEM Dallas: FaZe vs. HEROICbacked HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+100%+$43.74
IEM Dallas: Liquid vs. Aurorabacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.82
Will Astralis win the PGL Astana Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.45
Will Spirit win the PGL Astana Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.92
All 11 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick20cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,177Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+136.3%+$1,603.84
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+272.4%+$1,360.92
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+193.5%+$340.6
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,584Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,583.51
Will Ethereum reach $2800 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.83
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.65
Will Solana dip to $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.69
Will Solana reach $190 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,325.71
Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.33
Will Hyperliquid reach $32 before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.16
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid+67%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Panthers beat the Oilers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+234.8%+$57.66
Will the Oilers beat the Panthers 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$339.95
Will Sam Bennett win the 2025 Conn Smythe award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.88
Will the Oilers beat the Panthers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.62
Will the Panthers beat the Oilers 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.25
Will the Oilers beat the Panthers 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.9
Will the Florida Panthers be Eastern Conference champions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$230.74
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.41
IIHF Ice Hockey World Championship: Canada vs. Denmarkbacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+1,234.9%+$342.41
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-74.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hans Niemann win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.87
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.84
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.63
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.94
Will Leinier Domínguez win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.93
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.79
Will Wesley So win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.09
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+126.3%+$412.96
Will Dommaraju Gukesh win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.03
All 9 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 13-15 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$63.18
Will 7-9 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+74.7%+$37.35
Will 25 or more SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+339.6%+$352.38
Will less than 4 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.92
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.17
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 achieve a sucessful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.35
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.37
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brad Lander win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$227.83
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$138.33
Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$44.11
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+473.6%+$1,535.67
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 11% and 12% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.07
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 10% and 11% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.85
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.17
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST80%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2025, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-61%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC World Test Championship: Australia vs. South Africabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.69
Will the Punjab Kings win the 2025 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.97
Will the Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2025 Indian Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$218.94
Will the Mumbai Indians win the 2025 Indian Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4.62
Will the Gujarat Titans win the 2025 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.79
Kolkata Knight Riders vs. Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.44
Sunrisers Hyderabad vs. Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$26.24
Gujarat Titans vs. Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$215.9
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid-20.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+158.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs Lynxbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+31.8%+$50.06
Mercury vs Sparksbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+801.1%+$248.93
Aces vs Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.69
Sky vs Sparksbacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.16
All 4 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlanta United FC beat New York City FC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$8.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Broadcom beat Q2 earnings forecast ($1.57 EPS)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.