Tennis · resolved market
Boss Open: Shelton vs. Lehecka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc37114a3fa6fdd7a0222113751057c793e18582eaa06e3778522d564bc0b3235
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sheltonof Shelton, Lehecka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Shelton | 52c | 28,590$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,590.47 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Lehecka | 47c | 16,020$7,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,604.42 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…d06bbacked Lehecka | 40c | 10,163$4,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,021.87 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Lehecka | 47c | 3,912$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lehecka | 50c | 3,635$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.96 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Lehecka | 49c | 2,253$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.51 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47b1…1306backed Lehecka | 53c | 2,075$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Shelton | 50c | 2,012$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.6 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Shelton | 46c | 1,629$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.55 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Lehecka | 50c | 1,170$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Shelton | 54c | 1,155$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.11 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Lehecka | 36c | 862.98$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.07 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…673fbacked Shelton | 66c | 713.35$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.54 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Lehecka | 28c | 661.21$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Shelton | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lehecka | 48c | 566.23$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.79 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Shelton | 56c | 512.82$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.21 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Shelton | 51c | 509.8$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Shelton | 56c | 501.96$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.43 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…6887backed Lehecka | 51c | 477$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.27 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…3a27backed Lehecka | 49c | 460$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Shelton | 67c | 447.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.36 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Shelton | 51c | 400$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Lehecka | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5732…9030backed Shelton | 78c | 337.77$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Shelton | 51c | 276.47$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.47 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Shelton | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Shelton | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Lehecka | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Lehecka | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Lehecka | 22c | 176.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Shelton | 51c | 147.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.47 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Lehecka | 48c | 101.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Shelton | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…4b3ebacked Shelton | 50c | 95.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b0…6a57backed Shelton | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Shelton | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…074cbacked Lehecka | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Shelton | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fa…c2acbacked Shelton | 68c | 32.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Shelton | 47c | 25.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.