Tennis · resolved market
Boss Open: Engel vs. Auger-Aliassime
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06c4b8bc15ae58304e1feec53eb7b8df19aa15fc0a866129e0596e07da760956
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auger-Aliassimeof Engel, Auger-Aliassime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fd5…d06bbacked Engel | 16c | 15,978$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.57 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 80c | 5,784$4,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.68 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 78c | 3,013$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Engel | 21c | 2,387$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b1…1306backed Engel | 18c | 2,176$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 79c | 2,131$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.26 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Auger-Aliassime | 79c | 1,750$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.5 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Auger-Aliassime | 79c | 1,741$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27be…e3a9backed Engel | 21c | 1,641$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.17 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Engel | 22c | 1,105$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.57 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Engel | 22c | 1,043$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.48 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Engel | 23c | 1,000$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.25 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Engel | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Engel | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Auger-Aliassime | 76c | 425$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Engel | 17c | 399.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Engel | 19c | 207$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Engel | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef8f…6461backed Engel | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 79c | 182.05$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Engel | 17c | 109.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Auger-Aliassime | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…e6a5backed Engel | 20c | 84.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8222…8b4ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Engel | 20c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Auger-Aliassime | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Auger-Aliassime | 79c | 40.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fa…c2acbacked Auger-Aliassime | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…f7edbacked Auger-Aliassime | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Auger-Aliassime | 80c | 14.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e4…e3e6backed Auger-Aliassime | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.