TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeec4…e6a5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Mls at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT5949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Royals vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.58
Astros vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.19
Athletics vs. Raysbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+43.1%+$23.26
Cubs vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.15
Nationals vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Marlins vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.1
Red Sox vs. Angelsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.25
Rangers vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.54
Nationals vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+38.5%+$5.09
Astros vs. Angelsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$7.88
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+82.5%+$23.66
Diamondbacks vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.66
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.26
Mets vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.91
Pirates vs. Tigersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$29.74
Orioles vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.69
Mets vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$9.7
Phillies vs. Marlinsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$8.81
Cardinals vs. White Soxbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.46
Diamondbacks vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.23
Twins vs. Redsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.06
Diamondbacks vs. Blue Jaysbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.48
Guardians vs. Giantsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+135.9%+$94.15
Mets vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+79.2%+$17.43
Orioles vs. Raysbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+106.3%+$19.93
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Perricardbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+44.6%+$5.21
Wimbledon: Basilashvili vs. Musetti backed Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.48
Wimbledon: Ruse vs. Keys (W) backed Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.88
Mallorca Championships: Shelton vs. Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+308.3%+$38.6
Mallorca Championships: Michelsen vs. Holt backed Holt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.83
Mallorca Championships: Moutet vs. Altmaierbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+48.7%+$7.84
Terra Wortmann: Medvedev vs. Zverevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+108.7%+$120.06
HSBC Championships: Rune vs. Bautista Agutbacked Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+238.2%+$81.24
Terra Wortmann: Machac vs. Bublikbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.91
Terra Wortmann: Sonego vs. Zverevbacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.1
Terra Wortmann: Shapovalov vs. Cobollibacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.12
HSBC Championships: Rune vs. McDonaldbacked McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
HSBC Championships: Evans vs. Nakashimabacked Evans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.17
Terra Wortmann: Halys vs. Medvedevbacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.6
HSBC Championships: Bautista Agut vs. Mensikbacked Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+189.6%+$24.26
Terra Wortmann: Humbert vs. Shapovalovbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$67.2
Boss Open: Zverev vs. Fritzbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.08
Boss Open: Zverev vs. Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.57
Boss Open: Engel vs. Auger-Aliassimebacked Engel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.88
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Gauffbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.66
French Open: Popyrin vs. Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$6.84
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2025, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal beat Fluminense in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$14.58
Will Fluminense beat Al Hilal in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+122.8%+$200.33
FIFA Club World Cup: Dortmund vs. Monterrey (To Advance) backed Monterrey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.16
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Inter Milan beat River Plate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Flamengo beat LAFC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+117.8%+$18.06
Will RB Salzburg beat Al Hilal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$7.37
Will Fluminense beat Ulsan Hyundai?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.7
Will Chelsea beat Flamengo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+105.5%+$16.4
Will PSG beat Botafogo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+85.3%+$10.83
Will Pachuca vs. RB Salzburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$7.88
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Fluminense?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+139.5%+$44.5
Will Benfica beat Boca Juniors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+113.4%+$37.42
Will Botafogo beat Seattle Sounders?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.18
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Inter end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$31.45
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$180.36
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick75cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$9.98
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.74
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.53
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valkyries vs Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+58.3%+$7.06
Mystics vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$4.88
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.