Tennis · resolved market
Boss Open: Zverev vs. Fritz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93f5814f5f0b178d30b2d8e1634c864594f1bc6e443ebc47b0d6249ffa779b74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fritzof Zverev, Fritz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Fritz | 62c | 26,988$16,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,141.78 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Zverev | 37c | 14,449$5,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,379.14 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Zverev | 37c | 6,005$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.95 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Zverev | 38c | 5,782$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.27 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Zverev | 60c | 5,017$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Zverev | 38c | 3,142$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.67 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…6f28backed Fritz | 44c | 2,917$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.38 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…bb91backed Fritz | 79c | 2,069$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.61 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Fritz | 44c | 1,993$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.92 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fritz | 40c | 1,811$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.32 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fritz | 41c | 1,750$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.98 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…aac8backed Zverev | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Zverev | 56c | 1,239$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.97 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…d478backed Zverev | 37c | 1,210$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Zverev | 45c | 1,188$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.83 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Zverev | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.99 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Fritz | 43c | 1,072$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.87 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Fritz | 40c | 893.72$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.2 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Zverev | 26c | 768.01$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.43 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…673fbacked Fritz | 75c | 724.08$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.08 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Zverev | 57c | 708.51$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.85 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Zverev | 58c | 700.73$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.42 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Fritz | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Zverev | 41c | 672.46$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.03 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Zverev | 46c | 490$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.3 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…6e4ebacked Zverev | 57c | 430.95$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.64 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Zverev | 22c | 426.2$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Fritz | 42c | 403.46$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.28 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Zverev | 27c | 369.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Fritz | 53c | 300$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Zverev | 25c | 296.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Zverev | 26c | 290$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Fritz | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Fritz | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…d80ebacked Zverev | 48c | 206.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed Fritz | 45c | 175.56$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Zverev | 26c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aac…e179backed Zverev | 58c | 125.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Zverev | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Fritz | 53c | 94.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Zverev | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed Zverev | 24c | 84.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Zverev | 53c | 75.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Zverev | 25c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Fritz | 59c | 60.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6979…d7a2backed Zverev | 45c | 54.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Fritz | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…e6a5backed Zverev | 58c | 44.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fa…c2acbacked Zverev | 26c | 43.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…074cbacked Zverev | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab2…e698backed Zverev | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a2…0d50backed Fritz | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Zverev | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Fritz | 75c | 18.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.