TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4337…6e4e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 62 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7475.7%56 W · 18 L+10.8wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+20.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$370.98
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.5
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$278.78
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+99%+$74.63
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$38.94
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$70.37
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,875Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$1,330.08
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Take First Cornerbacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$38.11
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$143.35
Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.76
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.14
Spain leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.4
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$37.7
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$30.16
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$240
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.92
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+48%+$309.01
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$76
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$982Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$587.58
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.79
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$154.71
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.51
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$113.5
Canada vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$36.34
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$46.98
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2564%16 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.05
Hamburg European Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Julia Stusekbacked Nadia Podoroska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.8
Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$194.2
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Lorenzo Claveriebacked Facundo Mena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.89
Newport: Arthur Gea vs Adam Waltonbacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.54
Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Marvin Moellerbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$53.63
Iasi: Lautaro Midon vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$38.13
Fery vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Nottingham 3: Clement Chidekh vs Ivan Ivanovbacked Clement Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Wimbledon WTA: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$46.55
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.9
Wimbledon WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$31.68
Wimbledon WTA: Elise Mertens vs Maria Timofeevabacked Maria Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.66
Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$28.8
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Filsbacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$48.43
Bad Homburg Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16.32
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Julia Grabher vs Mariam Bolkvadzebacked Mariam Bolkvadze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$15.84
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Alicia Dudeney vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.81
Bad Homburg Open: Eva Lys vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$43.66
Bad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Set 1 Winner: Borges vs Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$39.93
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$37.62
Boss Open: Zverev vs. Fritzbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$245.64
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid beat Pachuca?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$84
Real Madrid vs. Pachuca: 4+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$690.14
Will Juventus beat Wydad AC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,389.02
Will Fluminense beat Ulsan Hyundai?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,127.88
Will LAFC beat Esperance Sportive?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$57.42
Inter Miami vs. FC Porto: 3+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,149.72
Monterrey vs. Inter Milan: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+100%+$242
Fluminense vs. Borussia Dortmund: 3+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+37%+$280.8
Flamengo vs. Esperance Sportive de Tunis: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$779Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$691.25
Will Benfica beat Boca Juniors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$430
Chelsea vs. LAFC: 4+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+90.6%+$295.45
PSG vs. Atlético Madrid: 3+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+52.5%+$144.61
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$102
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$25.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. backed Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.