TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will LAFC beat Esperance Sportive?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,853
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,473

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,853 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes47c7,001$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,290.1512848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No49c4,186$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,144.6810736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed No52c4,072$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,954.322055%11 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No52c3,428$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.5330754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No53c3,086$1,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.6917853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No57c3,069$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.7624742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47fc…b576backed No39c3,000$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,828.132740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes48c2,989$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.7638935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Yes47c2,961$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.953863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+29.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No53c2,889$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.4617852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Yes49c2,803$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3692020%4 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No53c2,400$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12818160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f1…a19ebacked Yes47c1,629$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.27933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes56c1,583$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.724963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes45c1,575$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.9738048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No54c1,477$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.1818758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa975…f137backed No61c1,475$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.665052%26 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No54c1,436$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.78243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21a9…d8bfbacked Yes21c1,430$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.26333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf747…f687backed No54c1,336$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.43955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked No50c1,309$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.589159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No52c1,241$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.8839842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes47c1,219$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.6323942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No54c1,049$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.3221037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes52c1,045$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.996232.3%20 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No46c1,042$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.4436851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes48c1,000$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.3319645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e04…ddc6backed Yes52c995$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No55c909$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0517658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No53c733.25$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.2312536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No69c700$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21720462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae55…41c0backed Yes47c698.35$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.22825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid+21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No54c692.05$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.7844955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd82c…acb0backed Yes48c680.85$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.812245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yes48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012330.1%37 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe732…7465backed No32c609.15$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.021952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed No52c599$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.522524%6 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-46.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf88…c6f6backed No48c585$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked No52c499.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.995764.9%37 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x353b…b63cbacked No48c415$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No53c350.99$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.1511132.4%36 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf9d…a540backed No61c282.9$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.454647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab3e…6939backed Yes28c272.65$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.872425%6 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Yes27c245.38$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.843231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No53c228.89$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7646956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36e3…30b5backed Yes72c216.27$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.71837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004564.4%29 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked No56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884839.6%19 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+62.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed No54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…6e4ebacked No67c174$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.421250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5270…4c8bbacked Yes45c170$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.52138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf16c…57d6backed Yes51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.52231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-38.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes48c145.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7022847.8%109 W · 119 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No54c144.61$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0238356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes48c140.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.673033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06c6…4162backed No55c125$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.85242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e5…c63abacked No49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5022547.6%107 W · 118 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1812862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Yes47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477950.6%40 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d6…0062backed No52c97.78$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.922951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No53c89.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.38240.2%33 W · 49 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes44c71.23$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3424047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed No55c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.67946.8%37 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde74…e866backed No49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.223033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304619.6%9 W · 37 L-7.7wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-57%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes47c59.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8710931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a8e…c096backed Yes47c55.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.033548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes47c55.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes47c52.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4611443%49 W · 65 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e86…1f02backed No59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.851070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+48.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef34…1d61backed Yes48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes47c46.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226331.7%20 W · 43 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed No55c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.226123%14 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014955%82 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf778…05b2backed Yes47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206229%18 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2428357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes53c39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.843336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9e3…b8b2backed Yes39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4922…3487backed No53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+53.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d26…95aebacked No55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked No56c35.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6611429.8%34 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa33f…fedbbacked No45c32.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.612962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff26…c896backed Yes48c31.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ab2…e698backed Yes45c30.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.874459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca9e…c15bbacked Yes48c26.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7740…cbcdbacked No40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3095…8e0ebacked No57c21.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.295829.3%17 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.