TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf747…f687

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 3, 2025, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.09
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.95
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.61
US Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi Osakabacked Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$261.3
US Open: Marketa Vondrousova vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Vondrousova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+100%+$160.96
US Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Marcos Gironbacked Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$78
US Open: Gael Monfils vs Roman Safiullinbacked Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$92.39
US Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$40.83
ATP Cincinnati - Sinner vs. Atmanebacked Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$473.81
ATP Cincinnati - Rublev vs. Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,735Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+25%+$433.8
ATP Cincinnati - Shelton vs. Leheckabacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$916Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$663.19
WTA Montreal – Mboko vs. Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$207.79
ATP Kitzbuhel – Bublik vs. Cazauxbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$948Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$283.14
Swiss Open: Shevchenko vs. Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$128.24
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,129.17
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,929Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,929.42
Will Aryna Sabalenka win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$8,669Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$3,371.2
Wimbledon Final – Anisimova vs. Swiatekbacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$4,528Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,527.92
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$5,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,899.79
Wimbledon: Sierra vs. Siegemund (W)backed Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,413.74
Wimbledon: Nakashima vs. Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$52.98
Wimbledon: Swiatek vs. Collins (W)backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$153.14
Wimbledon: Draper vs. Cilic backed Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$4,349.97
Wimbledon: Dimitrov vs. Moutetbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.02
Wimbledon: Kudermetova vs. Navarro (W)backed Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,578Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+55.4%+$874.6
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spirit win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,400
BLAST Bounty: MOUZ vs. Spiritbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$743.92
BLAST Bounty: The MongolZ vs. Aurorabacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+74.2%+$390.41
BLAST Bounty: MOUZ vs. Astralisbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$147.52
BLAST Bounty: MIBR vs. Virtus.probacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.17
Will Vitality win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,231Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,231.04
IEM Cologne: Vitality vs. MOUZbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$268.53
IEM Cologne: MOUZ vs. FURIAbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,095.01
IEM Cologne: The MongolZ vs. Natus Vincerebacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,140
IEM Cologne: G2 vs. FURIAbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$628.45
IEM Cologne: Virtus.pro vs. HEROICbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$757Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$757.03
IEM Cologne: Astralis vs. FURIAbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$570
IEM Cologne: FaZe vs. Liquidbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$441.01
IEM Cologne: Astralis vs. B8backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$700.36
BLAST.tv Austin Major: paiN vs. The MongolZbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,751Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,751
BLAST.tv Austin Major: MOUZ vs. Vitalitybacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+37%+$743.52
BLAST.tv Austin Major: FaZe vs. The MongolZbacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$739Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$1,020.05
BLAST.tv Austin Major: FURIA vs. paiNbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+202.5%+$629.73
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Spirit vs. MOUZbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,070
BLAST Rivals: Vitality vs. Spiritbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$502.83
BLAST Rivals: Falcons vs. MOUZ backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$436.16
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Juventus (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$7,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$2,863.44
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,377.04
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Inter Miami (To Advance) backed Inter Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$998.35
Will LAFC beat Esperance Sportive?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$721Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$614.43
Benfica vs. Auckland City: 7+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$76
Flamengo vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+150%+$300
Will Palmeiras beat Al Ahly?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,692Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,692.4
Will Pachuca vs. RB Salzburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$499.5
Will Real Madrid beat Al Hilal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,244Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$3,198.89
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$68.84
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.24
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.96
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,183.58
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$509.45
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,243Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,243.23
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$709Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$534.59
Will Team Spirit win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+64.1%+$233.38
Will Team Liquid win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$507.03
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$39.57
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$83.93
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,681Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,680.95
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$230
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$180.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hans Niemann win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+139.3%+$740.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$793.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,934.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,249.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.