Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Kudermetova vs. Navarro (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0644cb905692f147a320831498c152f2d57e58d81a58ea64a8d6dece6196101
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navarroof Kudermetova, Navarro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf747…f687backed Navarro | 64c | 2,452$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.6 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Navarro | 66c | 2,219$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.43 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Kudermetova | 35c | 2,031$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.72 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Navarro | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Kudermetova | 38c | 1,156$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.04 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kudermetova | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a5…5be0backed Kudermetova | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…bd85backed Navarro | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Kudermetova | 38c | 999.94$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.98 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Navarro | 69c | 771.71$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kudermetova | 34c | 730.26$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.56 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Navarro | 61c | 658.82$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.94 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Kudermetova | 36c | 468.19$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.55 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Navarro | 73c | 400$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Kudermetova | 35c | 399.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Kudermetova | 32c | 298.21$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kudermetova | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kudermetova | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…53e9backed Kudermetova | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Kudermetova | 24c | 229$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kudermetova | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Kudermetova | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ed…f17dbacked Navarro | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Kudermetova | 39c | 145.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Navarro | 66c | 145.87$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Kudermetova | 34c | 138.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Kudermetova | 36c | 135.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Navarro | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4293…220ebacked Navarro | 62c | 95.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Navarro | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked Navarro | 65c | 82.23$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Kudermetova | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Kudermetova | 26c | 52.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Navarro | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Kudermetova | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Navarro | 74c | 26.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Navarro | 62c | 24.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Navarro | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…efaebacked Navarro | 62c | 23.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…8b5dbacked Navarro | 62c | 22.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Navarro | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…7084backed Navarro | 65c | 18.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.