TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8747…8b5d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT5170.6%36 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.92
US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.56
Monterrey Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.34
Monterrey Open: Lilli Tagger vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.37
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.52
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$5.86
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.71
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.26
Madrid Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Australian Open Women's: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13.99
Australian Open Men's: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.1
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Blockx vs Jason Kublerbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
ASB Classic: Luciano Darderi vs Marcos Gironbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.81
Australian Open Men's: Vitaliy Sachko vs Liam Draxlbacked Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Australian Open Women's: Justina Mikulskyte vs Anastasia Gasanovabacked Mikulskyte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.85
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Francisco Comesanabacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.89
Adelaide International: Victoria Mboko vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$11.87
ASB Classic: Alejandro Tabilo vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$11.37
ASB Classic: Elina Svitolina vs Iva Jovicbacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+47.3%+$16.07
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.74
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$22.79
Brisbane International: Sebastian Korda vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+56.3%+$15.75
ASB Classic: Elina Svitolina vs Sonay Kartalbacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+52.5%+$23.12
Set Handicap: Boulter (-1.5) vs Starodubtseva (+1.5)backed Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.14
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+44.9%+$10.29
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.99
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Netsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$5.15
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.49
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.84
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$10.08
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.03
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+116.3%+$47.2
Clippers vs. Hornetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5.41
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$37.25
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14.35
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3.91
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$35.44
76ers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+85.2%+$20.58
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.01
All 19 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.06
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$5.43
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+37%+$12.21
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.05
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$9.81
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.18
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+31.6%+$5.07
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-11-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+44.9%+$5.1
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14.74
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+27.8%+$22.26
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+60%+$11.85
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$6.76
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+71.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+44.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Basketball vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+129.3%+$30.34
Real Madrid vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17.85
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Monacobacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+37%+$11.35
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Barnsley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Macclesfield FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.05
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+156.4%+$35.97
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guardians vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$8.21
Astros vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$14.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Skybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.88
Mercury vs Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Zealand ODI Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 2)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+29.9%+$8.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.