NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5777116f32d952c910d96d13bbcd706aa9e27803755d1e63848be57164103697
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,405,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,906,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,405,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Rockets | 55c | 405,471$223,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182,471.32 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Cavaliers | 45c | 264,180$118,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118,885.66 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 189,359$88,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,280.54 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 52c | 145,633$76,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,307.76 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9028backed Cavaliers | 48c | 130,000$62,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,299.88 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Cavaliers | 48c | 95,000$45,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,599.77 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets | 52c | 92,423$48,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,334 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Cavaliers | 48c | 88,983$42,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,411.87 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Rockets | 52c | 75,000$39,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,749.99 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 74,346$34,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,942.55 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Cavaliers | 38c | 64,324$24,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,657.98 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c7…3133backed Rockets | 53c | 53,900$28,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,333.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Cavaliers | 45c | 51,875$23,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,550.88 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…11eebacked Rockets | 53c | 41,554$22,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,530.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Rockets | 53c | 40,837$21,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,178.17 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,200 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…c3d2backed Rockets | 53c | 35,977$19,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,909.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 29,999$13,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,899.52 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets | 56c | 29,420$16,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,937.58 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rockets | 54c | 29,399$15,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,586.25 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers | 17c | 27,085$4,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,577.27 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Cavaliers | 1c | 25,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…5366backed Cavaliers | 47c | 25,000$11,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,749.93 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb149…18c5backed Rockets | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Cavaliers | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Cavaliers | 31c | 19,953$6,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,127.44 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Rockets | 54c | 19,849$10,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,130.46 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Cavaliers | 48c | 19,000$9,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,120 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Cavaliers | 48c | 18,750$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Rockets | 54c | 18,519$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,518.52 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cavaliers | 25c | 17,749$4,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.48 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Rockets | 52c | 16,823$8,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,069.35 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets | 57c | 16,753$9,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,136.89 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…acc4backed Rockets | 57c | 15,536$8,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,648.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x211e…442bbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,049.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Rockets | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.87 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Rockets | 52c | 14,978$7,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,189.5 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c33…3b77backed Cavaliers | 47c | 14,900$7,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,003.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Rockets | 52c | 14,538$7,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,929.89 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 14,331$6,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,484.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Cavaliers | 48c | 13,650$6,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,552 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c9…2278backed Cavaliers | 49c | 13,604$6,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,666 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x003c…3bcabacked Rockets | 53c | 13,250$7,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,227.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cavaliers | 25c | 13,244$3,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,291.75 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d5…c359backed Rockets | 53c | 13,000$6,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,110 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 12,415$5,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,959.5 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Cavaliers | 21c | 12,397$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.64 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Cavaliers | 47c | 11,000$5,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,140 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers | 48c | 10,420$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,001.6 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9170…a3b7backed Rockets | 52c | 10,420$5,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,001.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…94febacked Cavaliers | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88d5…5ae1backed Cavaliers | 23c | 10,050$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 24cpaid | +572.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Rockets | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.85 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 9,903$4,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,730.06 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Rockets | 53c | 9,477$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,426.97 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaeb…1506backed Rockets | 52c | 9,400$4,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,512.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde89…65afbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 9,400$4,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,468 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…26debacked Rockets | 53c | 9,385$4,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Cavaliers | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.98 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…9baebacked Rockets | 53c | 8,500$4,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,994.98 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Rockets | 53c | 8,023$4,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.69 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…f367backed Cavaliers | 13c | 7,732$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Rockets | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.31 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Rockets | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5c…7335backed Cavaliers | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,675 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…424ebacked Rockets | 51c | 7,494$3,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…af64backed Rockets | 54c | 7,100$3,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,291 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Cavaliers | 47c | 6,762$3,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.36 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…4ce1backed Cavaliers | 49c | 6,663$3,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,265 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9d…75adbacked Rockets | 51c | 6,657$3,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cavaliers | 47c | 6,500$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.99 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Rockets | 75c | 6,178$4,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.46 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf0…251cbacked Rockets | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.95 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers | 46c | 5,821$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.68 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Rockets | 56c | 5,750$3,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.5 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Cavaliers | 26c | 5,716$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.22 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 72c | 5,595$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.85 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Cavaliers | 47c | 5,555$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.7 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Cavaliers | 49c | 5,413$2,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.85 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…991bbacked Rockets | 53c | 5,400$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Rockets | 53c | 5,362$2,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.13 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cavaliers | 27c | 5,057$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.75 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Rockets | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Rockets | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cavaliers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Rockets | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd804…821cbacked Cavaliers | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…32a1backed Cavaliers | 47c | 5,000$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.93 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Cavaliers | 3c | 4,617$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.51 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeafd…2674backed Rockets | 53c | 4,528$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cavaliers | 12c | 4,510$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.74 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,500$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.46 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3686…0bd8backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,479$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,300$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…cd30backed Rockets | 53c | 4,300$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Rockets | 75c | 4,288$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.03 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Rockets | 53c | 4,287$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.79 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,162$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 14c | 4,062$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.71 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Cavaliersthis page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-0.5)Rockets won
- Rockets vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.