NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x229e68338235aace22b1e5950139f562f4b5cdefa5420fbbd1a9784cc9c04c7a

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Nov 19, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $17,326
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $17,113

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,326 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under	44c	9,248$4,070 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,177.97	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	44c	4,000$1,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,240	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over	56c	3,000$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,680	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Over	56c	2,143$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	152	44.1%67 W · 85 L	-14.4wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	56c	1,447$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810.46	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Over	55c	909.5$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.23	428	45.1%193 W · 235 L	-15.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Over	57c	877.19$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	141	56%79 W · 62 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3da…db64backed Over	57c	701.75$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Over	58c	570.69$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Under	44c	483.93$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63dd…c279backed Over	57c	271.18$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.57	92	59.8%55 W · 37 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under	43c	247.76$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.22	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5dd…b094backed Over	57c	225$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.25	339	50.1%170 W · 169 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over	52c	208$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.16	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Over	54c	205.05$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.73	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69dc…336dbacked Over	56c	200$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	129	50.4%65 W · 64 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over	57c	176.3$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25c3…1b52backed Over	57c	175.44$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…7b98backed Over	57c	173.68$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-4.7wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x958f…7d5abacked Over	59c	169.61$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	134	64.2%86 W · 48 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	40c	168.33$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e7…4763backed Over	60c	166.66$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…aeb8backed Over	56c	141$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.96	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	43c	127.02$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.4	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac71…d8cabacked Over	56c	125$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed Over	57c	105.26$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	157	59.9%94 W · 63 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	56c	103.7$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	603	46.4%280 W · 323 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8f1…025dbacked Over	56c	103.57$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	93	51.6%48 W · 45 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Over	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	549	51.9%285 W · 264 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	43c	93.52$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.87	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf06a…cfdabacked Over	56c	92$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.52	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-5.4wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf406…c9bfbacked Over	55c	90.18$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5dd…490bbacked Over	55c	90$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	126	54.8%69 W · 57 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d45…1ba7backed Over	56c	89.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	112	64.3%72 W · 40 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…1943backed Over	57c	87.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	201	50.7%102 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…908dbacked Over	57c	87.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	166	50%83 W · 83 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over	37c	86.58$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.6	353	52.4%185 W · 168 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under	44c	82.74$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.14	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Over	54c	80$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.2	358	51.7%185 W · 173 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc518…bdecbacked Over	56c	78$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.68	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-7.2wins	-0.23per pick	52cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb6cc…18cebacked Over	56c	73.21$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	83	44.6%37 W · 46 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e62…06f9backed Over	56c	71.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	118	44.1%52 W · 66 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4889…9b17backed Over	56c	63$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.28	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3b…51dabacked Over	57c	61.4$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2921…78b3backed Over	57c	61.4$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over	58c	60.34$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	118	53.4%63 W · 55 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6680…5b88backed Over	55c	56.98$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.34	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-6.3wins	-0.30per pick	54cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Under	46c	56.35$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.43	302	44%133 W · 169 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	50c	55$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.7	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9acf…bd74backed Over	56c	55$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over	56c	53.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	76	50%38 W · 38 L	-5.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-16%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad87…f9a1backed Over	57c	52.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	350	52%182 W · 168 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc582…a75fbacked Over	57c	52.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-5.0wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x27ec…ad73backed Over	57c	52.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	194	51.5%100 W · 94 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b2…3886backed Over	57c	52.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf256…a93fbacked Over	55c	51.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.6	132	53%70 W · 62 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Under	45c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	94	52.1%49 W · 45 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5a3…8248backed Over	57c	47.37$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	49c	46$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.24	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a7b…7701backed Over	57c	43.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	49	55.1%27 W · 22 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ae…6bc8backed Over	57c	43.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb7…e2dbbacked Over	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60dc…7b1ebacked Over	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	-5.5wins	-0.09per pick	64cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ec1…dd29backed Over	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	225	56.9%128 W · 97 L	+12.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe63…2de4backed Over	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27b6…de0dbacked Over	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe32c…db1bbacked Under	43c	33.44$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.15	163	21.5%35 W · 128 L	-20.3wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcc76…d76dbacked Under	44c	31.82$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.82	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-3.4wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d78…4756backed Over	56c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b47…5286backed Under	46c	27$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.58	109	45%49 W · 60 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc609…f29abacked Over	57c	26.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8296…e9cbbacked Over	56c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1961…d240backed Over	57c	21.93$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1aba…0831backed Over	54c	21.74$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.74	185	58.4%108 W · 77 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c2…c9ddbacked Over	56c	21.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	34	64.7%22 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	70cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a18…7a20backed Over	56c	21.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	69	52.2%36 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f9f…4b15backed Over	57c	21.05$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	99	62.6%62 W · 37 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c0a…aec0backed Over	57c	21.05$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8043…7fe3backed Over	57c	21.05$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…f59fbacked Over	57c	21.05$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadd4…3ae9backed Over	58c	20.69$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a74…c3e4backed Over	58c	20.69$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	89	68.5%61 W · 28 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	64cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Over	57c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	482	55%265 W · 217 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc933…5366backed Over	56c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf597…f4aebacked Over	56c	19.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2de…6e5cbacked Over	57c	19.3$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Rockets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5this page
1H Spread: Rockets (-0.5)Rockets won
Rockets vs. CavaliersRockets won
Rockets vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineRockets won
Rockets vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
Rockets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 232.5Under won
Rockets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Under won
Rockets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Under won
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Rockets won
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Rockets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Rockets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event