TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xad87…f9a1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
627
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tweets, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT35052%182 W · 168 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 350 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$53.33
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$68.15
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 350 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT15649.4%77 W · 79 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 156 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+288.3%+$43.25
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$20.21
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$25.3
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$19.59
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+210.1%+$42.02
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 156 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.3
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.85
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Manchester United vs. West Ham: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$22.63
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)backed Manchester City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Brighton win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Burnley FC vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Tottenham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+281%+$84.29
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Red Wings vs. Devilsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Maple Leafs vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Lightning vs. Capitalsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kraken vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+25%+$7.5
Predators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Kings vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Islanders vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Ducks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Kings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$13.97
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+44.2%+$23.39
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$26.2
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$17.62
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+54.9%+$70.61
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$37.69
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+41.5%+$8.31
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$19.69
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+37.3%+$37.34
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$120
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-62.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Central Michigan (-9.5)backed Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Ohio vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+136.3%+$68.16
Partizan vs. Fenerbahcebacked Partizan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
BC Dubai vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+46.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+99%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+53.8%+$26.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+36.1%+$36.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.