Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe73edadf8c145ebf8414e9a92b55040345a77aade693bf8c800201c5fa88bc3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,034,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,233,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,034,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 612 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 48c | 63,800$30,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,624.2 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 62,346$22,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,969.87 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 50c | 50,000$25,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,900 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…66b9backed Yes | 51c | 47,419$24,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,235.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Yes | 51c | 40,059$20,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,629.48 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 48c | 38,004$18,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,055.49 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed Yes | 51c | 32,030$16,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,694.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e1…2ec3backed Yes | 52c | 31,200$16,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,988 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 51c | 29,903$15,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,637.88 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,250 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes | 55c | 20,014$11,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,006.51 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed No | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…cbabbacked No | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 17,625$7,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,793.11 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b68…f943backed No | 50c | 16,000$7,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,943.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d565backed No | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 24c | 13,290$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.68 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed No | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked No | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 65c | 11,219$7,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,905.17 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…3bf5backed No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…5366backed No | 49c | 9,999$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.38 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 52c | 9,346$4,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,439.93 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 52c | 8,972$4,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,339.37 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 7,841$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.7 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 50c | 7,352$3,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,662.37 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 49c | 7,118$3,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,487.91 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3641…02f1backed Yes | 51c | 6,852$3,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,357.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad7…8cadbacked No | 49c | 6,849$3,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,355.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 45c | 6,752$3,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064.03 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…ef4dbacked No | 49c | 5,987$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8652…89ccbacked Yes | 51c | 5,981$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 50c | 5,094$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed No | 9c | 5,022$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 79c | 4,580$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.85 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 17c | 4,500$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.99 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 51c | 4,234$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.7 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 51c | 3,920$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.61 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8066…031abacked Yes | 54c | 3,621$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 49c | 3,600$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.92 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb23a…a1a1backed Yes | 59c | 3,393$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…6933backed Yes | 51c | 3,329$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 49c | 3,273$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.98 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…788dbacked Yes | 52c | 2,912$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.6 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…9667backed No | 49c | 2,900$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed No | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 48c | 2,432$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.56 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes | 68c | 2,371$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.84 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 51c | 2,364$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.5 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 2c | 2,200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…d930backed Yes | 73c | 2,045$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.22 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…28d5backed Yes | 63c | 2,021$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed No | 50c | 2,014$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.85 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.86 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…ee34backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.97 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…e1e2backed No | 49c | 2,000$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…b0e7backed No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed No | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb714…eb1bbacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2697…cacabacked No | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Yes | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 51c | 1,950$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.5 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Yes | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 62c | 1,923$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.32 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Yes | 54c | 1,848$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Yes | 51c | 1,841$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.05 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 58c | 1,722$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.43 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecc0…e50ebacked Yes | 52c | 1,642$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Yes | 68c | 1,534$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.97 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +44%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6043…84afbacked No | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed No | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 73c | 1,449$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.23 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeadc…e41dbacked Yes | 52c | 1,396$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 61c | 1,363$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.91 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 48c | 1,343$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.61 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 10c | 1,332$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.97 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc262…8982backed Yes | 62c | 1,295$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.87 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 52c | 1,197$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.96 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38b2…1039backed Yes | 69c | 1,195$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 49c | 1,125$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.25 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,100$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked No | 48c | 1,100$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.99 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?No won
- Will Manchester City vs. Liverpool end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.