TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Manchester City vs. Liverpool end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,417
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,536

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,417 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb371…b5d1backed Yes25c12,436$3,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No75c11,525$8,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,834.3731655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No75c7,500$5,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,87535652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c7,120$5,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.56,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5cb6…76e0backed Yes21c6,605$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.392218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c5,789$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.761,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No74c5,719$4,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.3435758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes24c5,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No74c4,315$3,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.9618958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes25c2,999$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.8632037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed No76c2,420$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.8540%2 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick75cpaid-44.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf3e…1726backed Yes24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb48…fababacked Yes20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes25c1,950$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.54847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes25c1,908$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47722125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No80c1,807$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.834,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No76c1,399$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.29263%58 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09e2…5c27backed No76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.796100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No75c1,280$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.0156453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18a2…695fbacked Yes25c1,180$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes8c1,063$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8518433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c8b…b3c3backed Yes9c1,059$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.33728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes14c1,059$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9527024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes20c1,008$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20127235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505232.7%17 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes7c999.84$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.996048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01ee…469cbacked Yes25c990$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes25c916.12$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.03616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-71.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02f0…57b6backed Yes25c760.4$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.11118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-59.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ba…6a77backed Yes25c680$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x705d…c60abacked Yes25c628$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1571963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7623…a48abacked Yes8c603.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.292254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes9c575$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7532222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38b2…1039backed Yes23c566.67$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe931…138bbacked Yes25c560.28$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Yes24c542$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.088740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb967…65edbacked Yes25c507$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.681566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011142.3%47 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11542043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked No76c484$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.161070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid+7.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Yes25c480$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes8c463.75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379736.1%35 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcece…8c50backed Yes26c461.65$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes24c436.43$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.743537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba8…500abacked Yes27c420$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.21741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes25c414.72$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6819426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb43d…703cbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4341…6451backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde8b…fdb0backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x699d…0501backed Yes25c396$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes24c384$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7520039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb79c…2ea7backed No76c360.55$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d6…00d5backed Yes6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes27c269.29$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4710636.8%39 W · 67 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7429158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…3308backed Yes20c251.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+63.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aa5…6bc9backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes13c250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.525545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Yes21c211.56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410031%31 W · 69 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2af6…ff10backed No77c208.27$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.27862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce79…a5d3backed Yes25c200.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d1…ee7abacked Yes25c200.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.013040%12 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+39.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506942%29 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020750.2%104 W · 103 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce7b…c780backed No76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71a3…6392backed Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed Yes24c199.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.995641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Yes26c194.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502532%8 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+37.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9f…2a51backed Yes26c192.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd585…3d66backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-59.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed Yes25c181.6$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.44535.6%16 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Yes16c175$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.62060%12 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+81%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6dc2…0b79backed Yes25c172.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025532.9%84 W · 171 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb139…add0backed Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d33…e208backed Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No77c158.04$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.11,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No74c152.69$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.721656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes25c141.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.689738.1%37 W · 60 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d9d…3409backed Yes27c139.91$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ce…6600backed Yes25c133.72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes19c129.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518239.6%72 W · 110 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2541344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308234.1%28 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff9…bdc5backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf4c…d5dbbacked Yes26c115.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+43.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fc1…075ebacked Yes25c112$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282924.1%7 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x61bd…3837backed Yes25c112$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…cfbbbacked Yes25c100.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed No75c100.03$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0121463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257838.5%30 W · 48 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7b…0179backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.