TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5cb6…76e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,559
Will Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$400.99
Will Oxford United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,150
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Burton Albion FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.22
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+270.4%+$217.24
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.18
Will Manchester United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+376.2%+$376.19
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,621Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+93.2%+$1,510.46
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,384Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+159.3%+$6,984.24
Will Manchester City vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,378.39
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,263Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,262.71
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,774Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,773.77
Will Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$3,323
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$142.66
Will Everton win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$821Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$821
Will Manchester City vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$968.65
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$542.01
All 22 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST150%0 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$176.57
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$176
Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$140
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,576Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$2,576
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$4,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$4,470
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$3,432
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,977Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,977
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,642Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$5,642.47
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,695Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$3,694.97
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$685
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+26.6%+$531.75
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$529.11
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+583.3%+$2,088.05
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,098.44
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,600
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$3,400
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+91.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,786Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+283.8%+$5,068.2
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$711.07
Will AC Milan vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,079.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$732Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$761.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,143Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+87.5%+$3,624.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$8,873Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$8,873
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14,229.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.