Champions League · resolved market
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x895093179fad1e484d51a0e99dd32148088d0e678436477fe0971c9be55509b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 49c | 29,999$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,299.71 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0584…de3ebacked Yes | 51c | 29,204$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 21,815$11,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,612.6 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Yes | 51c | 19,976$10,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,136.87 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 48c | 9,194$4,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,781 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 51c | 8,163$4,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,162.34 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 51c | 6,236$3,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.16 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes | 52c | 6,216$3,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,232.16 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e1…08edbacked Yes | 50c | 5,800$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c05…cf6cbacked No | 49c | 5,792$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 5,366$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.69 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 57c | 2,956$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 51c | 2,786$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.93 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 49c | 2,743$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.38 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 2,613$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.11 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 43c | 2,062$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.26 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 6c | 1,799$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 53c | 1,769$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.29 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 40c | 1,373$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.04 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed No | 50c | 1,046$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…26aabacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…abf5backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…fb3abacked Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15df…9465backed Yes | 51c | 927.45$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…bf62backed Yes | 51c | 896.29$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 46c | 869.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…6412backed No | 56c | 832.58$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked No | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 46c | 680.52$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.04 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 49c | 677$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.27 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 51c | 659$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.09 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bf…5430backed Yes | 51c | 640.2$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6004…6ecabacked Yes | 52c | 572.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +130.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f0…f19fbacked Yes | 50c | 534$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked No | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee2…bea6backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 49c | 499.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…76e0backed Yes | 4c | 493.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac14backed Yes | 50c | 402.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…6b7fbacked No | 50c | 400.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf20…f904backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…859fbacked Yes | 52c | 369.23$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 52c | 350$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff9…bdc5backed Yes | 50c | 347.06$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 52c | 346.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc9…5199backed Yes | 51c | 326.2$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28b…6e10backed No | 50c | 325.6$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 51c | 315.4$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.21 | 182 | 50.5%92 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 51c | 280.39$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 51c | 244$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 52c | 243.14$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 53cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…46a4backed No | 51c | 237.25$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 49c | 217.31$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.8 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 50c | 216.18$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 47c | 202.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.39 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…b892backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed Yes | 51c | 196.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…689abacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacaf…abaabacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…928abacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…e671backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf8…d6d9backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…b72ebacked Yes | 9c | 189.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked No | 51c | 188.24$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Yes | 51c | 164.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked Yes | 48c | 150$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 51c | 145$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes | 52c | 140.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc693…6d2abacked No | 50c | 139.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 62c | 132.73$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 50c | 119.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +60%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…6b55backed Yes | 52c | 115.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 48c | 112.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 232 | 47.4%110 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…b50dbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 40c | 100.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-05?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-05?Yes won
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.