TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91f3…0d57

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Serie A, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 59 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT9348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.95
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$137.2
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$39.55
Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$157
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$139.23
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$62.4
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+64.8%+$59
Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$145
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$139.31
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$145
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$133.85
Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$47.5
Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$97.5
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+85.2%+$70.7
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+92.3%+$57.23
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$144.56
Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$128.58
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$121.06
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+104.1%+$19.78
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Spread: Suns (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$145
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$145
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$145
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$158
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+222.6%+$191.42
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+233.3%+$217
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Will Watford FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+233.3%+$198.33
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$71
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+195.4%+$215.88
Will Brighton vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+170.1%+$34.03
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.6
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$83
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+96.1%+$69.18
Will CD Tondela win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+270.4%+$143.3
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$97
Will NAC Breda win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$87
Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)backed FC Twente '65 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick47cpaid+76.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Juventus FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$296.63
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+284.6%+$210.62
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+100%+$140
Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$125.71
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$37.3
Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+122.2%+$122.22
Spread: Inter (-1.5)backed Inter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+104.1%+$87.74
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed Pisa SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+96.4%+$106.08
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+100%+$98
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$136
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+156.4%+$151.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Columbus Crew win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$169
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.