Asian League · resolved market
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde03267705fd3f85d07b3eb2c1ffdb90456f29a460af5f2da5ff287ef0e5637d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,500 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 28c | 5,486$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.09 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 5,270$3,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 1,456$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.94 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,216$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.48 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 72c | 517$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.76 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 409.6$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.35 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 407$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.27 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0b…c584backed Yes | 26c | 350$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Yes | 10c | 299.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 23c | 246.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 23c | 239.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 27c | 202.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 28c | 181.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Yes | 25c | 129.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…6a89backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Yes | 28c | 78.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…20e7backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 20c | 64.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 27c | 60.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 60.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 28c | 57.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 72c | 56.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 28c | 55.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 72c | 53.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Yes | 28c | 47.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 73c | 40.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed No | 72c | 38.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b77…80e6backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked No | 74c | 25.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 73cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked No | 77c | 24.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 71c | 19.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 77c | 18.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-03-13?No won
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-03-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.