Premier League · resolved market
Will Watford FC win on 2025-12-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec97aed38e1f85d268810e2939cd1318cc96cd3fc71c4c1d8fba093bfa507519
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 15c | 20,760$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,562.08 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 12c | 4,328$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,788.33 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 4,125$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.21 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 1c | 3,997$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 70c | 3,031$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.27 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 66c | 1,329$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.58 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 14c | 955.98$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.15 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed Yes | 28c | 720$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 30c | 600$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 23c | 351.47$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.16 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 32c | 305.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 19c | 295$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.54 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…c607backed Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Yes | 30c | 283.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 30c | 185.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.73 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 70c | 142.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 43c | 138.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 137$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Yes | 73c | 136.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…94b2backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…f28cbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 14c | 128.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.76 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 113$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.63 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…8487backed Yes | 73c | 92.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 32c | 73.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed No | 58c | 63.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 18c | 62.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 51c | 61.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Yes | 30c | 57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Yes | 31c | 55.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 25cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 22c | 53.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0142…b168backed Yes | 77c | 42.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 36c | 42.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Yes | 28c | 42.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 69c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 79c | 35.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…c6dabacked No | 61c | 29.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf18…7a1abacked No | 72c | 24.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 69c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed No | 70c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…dad2backed No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked No | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Watford FC win on 2025-12-26?this page
- Will Leicester City FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-12-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.