Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-12-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4933bf20c825be296015d3a0c057783d5970968f335f1db94b4e04d2e32be4e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 5c | 26,204$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.12 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 0c | 5,044$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 57c | 3,928$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.22 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 43c | 2,907$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 2,695$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.86 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.98 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…0c4bbacked Yes | 43c | 2,154$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.26 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 1,817$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa693…cf36backed Yes | 12c | 1,641$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 62c | 1,529$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.27 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 44c | 1,419$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.18 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 42c | 1,191$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.25 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…f28cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,001$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 898.54$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.31 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 57c | 681.21$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.92 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 54c | 484.58$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 57c | 345.98$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.77 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 57c | 289.33$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.46 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 13c | 276.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Yes | 66c | 242.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked No | 57c | 232.05$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed No | 67c | 223.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 57c | 223.36$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 34c | 217.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x924f…d049backed Yes | 33c | 200.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…419dbacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…296dbacked No | 35c | 177.14$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 48c | 165.35$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 43c | 161.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 18c | 130.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 58c | 119.28$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed No | 58c | 112.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 34c | 90$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 83.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 44c | 76.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 53c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…2020backed Yes | 34c | 52.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 46c | 46.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec6…e838backed Yes | 34c | 39.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 67c | 39.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 67c | 37.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 57c | 36.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc133…81ebbacked Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd107…5473backed Yes | 62c | 33.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 57c | 31.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…78c9backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Yes | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd50…c3bcbacked Yes | 38c | 29.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Yes | 42c | 26.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…7377backed Yes | 63c | 25.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe869…dbfdbacked Yes | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 59c | 17.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-12-26?this page
- Will Leicester City FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Watford FC win on 2025-12-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.