TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe869…dbfd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Commodities at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.04
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+47.4%+$48.39
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$30.18
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+58.4%+$60.34
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25.8%+$10.33
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.14
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$43.08
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+108.3%+$13
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$38.46
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+89%+$17.81
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7.33
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$252.36
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$95.88
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$15.56
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$12.92
All 5 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+87.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.81
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$17.77
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$8.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+36.9%+$7.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+32.1%+$8.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Icahn Enterprises (IEP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+27.6%+$4.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.