TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$748,388
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$760,007

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $748,388 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over45c442,141$198,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243,602.182055%11 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under55c175,000$96,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,2508940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x916f…53babacked Over42c150,501$63,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,008.832969%20 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+39.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under55c100,000$55,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,000.0117252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c69,351$38,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,103.824,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under56c62,500$34,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,687.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under57c51,002$28,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,878.190843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over44c22,723$9,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,724.613557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Under55c20,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,0003748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Under56c20,000$11,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,2001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under57c19,609$11,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,177.133342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under58c14,888$8,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,617.252,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under57c13,026$7,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,436.4350149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c9,785$5,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,506.83,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under57c6,076$3,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,463.459748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under56c5,992$3,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,355.3669142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under55c3,360$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,847.991844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under56c3,042$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.353762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6807349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7107353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac86…b3b3backed Over75c2,807$2,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.63966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd980…4645backed Over40c2,790$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6741100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under56c2,232$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2501643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under60c2,202$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.74334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1404245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1201855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Under56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under34c1,995$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.142846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53f7…2544backed Under40c1,990$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.8850%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under41c1,689$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.622755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under57c1,524$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.4242851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under62c1,493$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.0826550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under39c1,338$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52222753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under57c1,200$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68412954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60019344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under58c957.31$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.2432645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under55c925.83$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.28457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under57c921$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9720159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over48c887.5$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.512650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x625d…e828backed Under56c875$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e3…e736backed Under61c858.77$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Under35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005952.5%31 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Under36c826.69$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cf4…4de6backed Under61c826.23$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under56c800$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45264046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under57c800$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45622552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4e6…0d1fbacked Over40c800$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4804100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa948…b032backed Under61c780$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1d…f7e4backed Under61c770$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ca6…9399backed Over40c750$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd79…989ebacked Under61c744.97$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under61c737.7$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over66c685.98$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.233868.4%26 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Over45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.673050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over44c547.73$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.736464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under54c538.23$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.5811354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Over45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2754540%18 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2859947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28018650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over40c474.99$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2866756.7%38 W · 29 L+9.8wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over42c453.8$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.666349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over50c384$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19237829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd54…cd50backed Under61c360.66$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under58c348.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4120245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under43c345.59$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.911,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under37c341.98$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.351,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Under45c332.45$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505841.4%24 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under56c300.62$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.4641147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17119750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e0…ab2fbacked Over45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1684447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1657236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17131751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under58c297$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.267753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3de…fe0ebacked Over40c280.61$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.361471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+31.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under34c280.4$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.621,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.974146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.511154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504136.6%15 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.529053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14012951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under42c248.75$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.741,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over41c231.7$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.722638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over65c224.14$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7534050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Over68c219.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.44748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11622746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7799…0bd5backed Under56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8f…d351backed Under28c193.11$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf174…d052backed Over78c192.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.31771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+49.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under33c192.21$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3961657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under58c189.66$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under58c186.07$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9214342%60 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over43c185.49$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.732060%12 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+70.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under58c180$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.411636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd272…2856backed Over70c177.56$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.613100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.