TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd79…989e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Weather, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 55 out of 100; worst World Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$19.37
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.84
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$19.58
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.65
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$51.34
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.99
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$36.73
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$20.26
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.45
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$90.51
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.08
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.55
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24.08
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$18.07
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.46
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.36
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$32.52
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$21.69
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$22.74
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$19.36
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.45
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+138.1%+$164.76
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$138.73
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+38.9%+$90.64
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$140.24
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$210
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$288
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$198
Knicks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$89
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$359.74
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+177.8%+$328.89
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+92.3%+$173.54
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$308
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+38.9%+$94.89
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+35.1%+$115.58
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$106.88
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$265
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$122.54
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$141.89
Knicks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$113.62
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$485
Kraken vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$181.64
Devils vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$85.12
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$320
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$285
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Stars vs. Utahbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$300
Avalanche vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+117.4%+$355.7
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$387.39
Panthers vs. Blackhawksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+77.7%+$139.89
Capitals vs. Flamesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+75.4%+$167.47
Stars vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$117.77
Red Wings vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Stars vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$98.18
Canadiens vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$158.89
Wild vs. Ducksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$114.55
Jets vs. Red Wingsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$177
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wingsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$42
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$6.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut vs. Armybacked Connecticut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$110
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$284
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,650
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$454.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$153
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.