TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Timberwolves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Knicks, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,374,291
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,419,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,374,291 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 754 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd9b…414dbacked Knicks29c102,898$30,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,184.3851844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Knicks30c96,235$28,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,870.5248343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Knicks25c92,750$23,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,534.1537539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33f6…e0debacked Knicks30c82,633$24,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,789.813033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Timberwolves70c67,500$47,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,249.9912147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves74c47,745$35,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,292.11,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Knicks1c43,522$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.2264517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves73c40,330$29,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,030.385,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Knicks29c34,412$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00034062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74a…40eebacked Knicks30c25,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5001947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves69c24,901$17,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,703.972,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves70c24,434$17,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,296.029,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Timberwolves70c22,537$15,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,761.019263%58 W · 34 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Timberwolves70c20,088$14,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,026.437557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Timberwolves71c20,000$14,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,80059646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Knicks30c20,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62a…c2c7backed Timberwolves70c20,000$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0003063.3%19 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Knicks30c18,000$5,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,379.9835235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves70c16,896$11,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,018.381,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0305…093abacked Knicks21c16,810$3,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,530.89450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+60.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Timberwolves71c15,976$11,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,633.1826753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Knicks1c15,239$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.391,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Timberwolves69c14,413$10,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,400.3744459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d63…020cbacked Knicks30c13,611$4,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,083.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves70c13,601$9,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,064.64,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Timberwolves70c11,658$8,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,462.1530947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves78c11,374$8,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.164,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x796a…b5e2backed Knicks31c10,998$3,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,409.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Timberwolves70c10,760$7,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,227.9872450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves71c10,570$7,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,090.653,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Timberwolves79c10,544$8,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,182.2944654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Knicks29c10,129$2,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,937.5487144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c03…d894backed Timberwolves70c10,001$7,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000.435848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Timberwolves70c10,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00020454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Timberwolves70c10,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.9919048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f82…9b01backed Knicks25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.9916635.5%59 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Timberwolves68c10,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.986546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Timberwolves71c9,980$7,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,894.271547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Timberwolves70c9,945$7,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,940.0938148.6%185 W · 196 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Timberwolves71c8,402$5,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.513063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Timberwolves75c7,292$5,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.0152460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Knicks39c7,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.991,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Knicks30c6,667$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00024151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Timberwolves69c6,400$4,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.991,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Timberwolves70c5,621$3,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.5135651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Timberwolves68c5,478$3,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.7462347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed Knicks29c5,188$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.525253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Timberwolves70c5,119$3,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.8927247.1%128 W · 144 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Timberwolves71c5,075$3,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.6525554.1%138 W · 117 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Knicks30c5,020$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50614244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Knicks30c5,010$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50318045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb116…940abacked Timberwolves72c5,010$3,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.5112655.6%70 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae3e…a5f4backed Knicks31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.991435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…e73fbacked Knicks30c4,993$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49812531.2%39 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves70c4,852$3,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.112,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1692…831fbacked Knicks30c4,720$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.616051.7%31 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Timberwolves70c4,643$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.7759347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Knicks12c4,626$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.8681529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Knicks31c4,100$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2711,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f19…c2e2backed Knicks25c4,074$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Timberwolves70c3,909$2,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.719560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff20…8003backed Timberwolves71c3,605$2,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.331872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Timberwolves77c3,475$2,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.1873649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Timberwolves70c3,445$2,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.0546342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Knicks32c3,438$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10024831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Timberwolves70c3,250$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97518553%98 W · 87 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Timberwolves70c3,174$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.2917441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Timberwolves68c3,100$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.9847043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves70c3,040$2,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.861,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Timberwolves72c3,038$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.922,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Knicks35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05017250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Timberwolves71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87010057%57 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Knicks1c3,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94aa…067dbacked Knicks30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x624c…0cc7backed Knicks18c2,920$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.83737.8%14 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Knicks18c2,915$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.6534227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Timberwolves70c2,905$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.85558.2%32 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Knicks35c2,854$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00029037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4789…8ff5backed Knicks3c2,851$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.76425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Timberwolves65c2,682$1,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.792753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf247…e269backed Knicks3c2,556$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7024731.2%77 W · 170 L+11.8wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Timberwolves70c2,516$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.8455346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Timberwolves69c2,507$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.2710945.9%50 W · 59 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Knicks30c2,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75085147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Knicks30c2,389$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.611,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Timberwolves61c2,366$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.531,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f6…48f3backed Timberwolves69c2,343$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.486256.5%35 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x019e…af1dbacked Timberwolves71c2,333$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.576958%40 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Knicks1c2,300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bd6…918ebacked Knicks13c2,288$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006811.8%8 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ad…af2ebacked Knicks31c2,200$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6821631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Timberwolves70c2,200$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66023348.1%112 W · 121 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Knicks30c2,198$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.3621538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2c…5933backed Timberwolves69c2,188$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.281369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe06b…06a3backed Knicks32c2,188$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks24c2,180$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.018,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Knicks31c2,105$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.411,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Knicks25c2,049$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52016130.4%49 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Knicks1c2,038$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.688783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Knicks28c2,034$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.619451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.