NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda21bf83f6a34e6b962384f91e77131ed8cef1e5687673fe070a26e5ce313310
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Knicks | 51c | 50,355$25,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,558.68 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Timberwolves | 49c | 36,880$18,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,809 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc675…2ff3backed Timberwolves | 49c | 34,916$17,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,823.08 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Knicks | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Knicks | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.75 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves | 49c | 13,287$6,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,775.56 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Knicks | 51c | 11,765$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 47c | 10,434$4,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,535.82 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Knicks | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 53c | 7,458$3,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,941.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 49c | 6,039$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,092.88 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Timberwolves | 50c | 5,600$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.01 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Knicks | 50c | 5,237$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.34 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks | 51c | 5,073$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587.22 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Knicks | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Knicks | 52c | 4,998$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.96 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Knicks | 49c | 4,263$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.54 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Timberwolves | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Knicks | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Knicks | 51c | 3,410$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.31 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,739$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.5 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 2,122$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.38 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Knicks | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Knicks | 55c | 1,849$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.08 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Knicks | 51c | 1,743$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.82 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.23 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed Knicks | 51c | 1,123$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.42 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,001$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.51 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Knicks | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Knicks | 52c | 947.13$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.51 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Timberwolves | 49c | 820$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.2 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Knicks | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Knicks | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Knicks | 48c | 550$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Knicks | 51c | 431.37$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 387$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.37 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Knicks | 50c | 236.6$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.3 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Timberwolves | 49c | 236.18$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.16 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Timberwolves | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Knicks | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Knicks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Knicks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Timberwolves | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 168.42$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Timberwolves | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Timberwolves | 49c | 162$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Knicks | 51c | 156.73$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves | 44c | 153.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Knicks | 51c | 147$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Knicks | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Timberwolves | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Knicks | 51c | 139.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26aa…026cbacked Knicks | 52c | 134.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…1bd5backed Timberwolves | 50c | 129.66$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Knicks | 49c | 123.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca7…6e6ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 120.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Timberwolves | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Knicks | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Knicks | 56c | 89.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Knicks | 54c | 85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Timberwolves | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Knicks | 52c | 75.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Knicks | 51c | 71.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Knicks | 49c | 67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Knicks | 51c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Timberwolves | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3620…2e6cbacked Knicks | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Knicks | 51c | 58.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b6…b8f8backed Timberwolves | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Knicks | 49c | 50.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7590…d6e0backed Knicks | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed Timberwolves | 50c | 47.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Knicks | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Knicks | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…b5a2backed Knicks | 49c | 41.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f73…8a49backed Knicks | 52c | 41.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…c558backed Knicks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Timberwolves | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Knicks | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Timberwolves | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Timberwolves | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Timberwolves | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf77…9548backed Timberwolves | 50c | 39.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Timberwolves | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Timberwolves | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa7…e81ebacked Knicks | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Knicks | 51c | 31.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5002…23dbbacked Knicks | 49c | 29.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c90…404cbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa933…4e84backed Timberwolves | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Knicks | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Knicks vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Knicks vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Knicks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.