TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c79…1bd5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 54 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST3351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+203%+$203.42
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$213.02
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$278
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+51.5%+$18.29
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$99.98
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$54
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$160
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+170.3%+$170.27
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+222.6%+$69.08
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$40.03
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.8%+$28.81
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+177.8%+$177.78
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+42.3%+$42.26
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+49.3%+$67.48
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+194.1%+$140.81
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+66.7%+$96.31
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$745.37
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+79.8%+$79.79
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$232.35
Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$63.78
Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100%+$132
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$82.86
Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$101.42
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100.84
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$95.29
Spread: Magic (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$97.6
Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$254.24
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+100%+$64.83
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$99.95
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$119.99
Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+78.9%+$78.95
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+104.1%+$103.32
All 22 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,084Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$923.48
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed Genoa CFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+58.7%+$72.24
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+233.3%+$247.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$119.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$20.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+44.9%+$89.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.