Premier League · resolved market
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd1323dd545caf03c62cdeb812a9c80f515725c96629dcd50fa2f036926e284d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $512,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $522,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $512,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 383 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 43,892$32,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,300.8 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Yes | 50c | 29,759$14,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,974.26 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Yes | 52c | 18,136$9,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,369.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 24c | 16,225$3,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,894 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 15,391$9,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,370.32 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 24c | 13,317$3,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,196.03 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No | 78c | 12,350$9,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,717 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 5c | 11,999$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.97 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…2496backed Yes | 20c | 11,350$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 22c | 8,963$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.82 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 8,767$6,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.98 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 24c | 8,288$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.23 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 75c | 8,236$6,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.82 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 24c | 8,036$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.99 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 76c | 7,660$5,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.49 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 15c | 6,722$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.41 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 76c | 6,081$4,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.47 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 58c | 6,075$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526.37 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 5,793$3,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.06 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 76c | 5,708$4,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.9 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked No | 77c | 5,169$3,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.94 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…e1ffbacked Yes | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa297…8e9bbacked Yes | 9c | 4,957$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 77c | 4,868$3,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.64 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 76c | 4,500$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 7c | 4,343$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 36c | 4,223$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.98 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b290backed Yes | 23c | 4,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.97 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 76c | 3,958$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.34 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 18c | 3,424$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes | 45c | 3,282$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.06 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked No | 77c | 3,247$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.75 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 24c | 3,050$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…66c9backed Yes | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 23c | 2,500$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.63 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes | 16c | 2,440$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561a…8e0bbacked Yes | 23c | 2,420$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…bce6backed Yes | 6c | 2,280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.67 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed No | 67c | 2,277$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.48 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 78c | 2,203$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.54 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Yes | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…4478backed No | 50c | 1,878$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.06 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 38c | 1,843$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.12 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 51c | 1,828$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.56 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed No | 51c | 1,789$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.61 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 3c | 1,663$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 7c | 1,640$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…9ea3backed Yes | 22c | 1,600$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebcc…30bfbacked Yes | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 24c | 1,458$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…b58ebacked No | 77c | 1,296$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…4c6bbacked Yes | 47c | 1,225$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 16c | 1,170$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.88 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed No | 77c | 1,164$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 50c | 1,158$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed No | 80c | 1,125$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3246…99ddbacked No | 77c | 1,100$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 76c | 1,066$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.29 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 24c | 1,041$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…57bbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,022$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.39 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,001$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.27 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…fd01backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 30c | 984.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8e…5032backed Yes | 5c | 933.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Yes | 58c | 931.03$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…72b5backed No | 77c | 900$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +138.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Yes | 14c | 900$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…fb93backed Yes | 58c | 851.72$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…ca40backed No | 77c | 844.16$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 8c | 812.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Yes | 4c | 809.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…b12dbacked No | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 79c | 786.74$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.54 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 20c | 783.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Yes | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 22c | 730$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 235 | 31.1%73 W · 162 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 3c | 710.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a7…bfd0backed No | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…bcfcbacked Yes | 5c | 697.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 631.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…110bbacked No | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…feddbacked Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 43c | 586.93$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.93 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Yes | 8c | 579.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Yes | 47c | 574.14$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 76c | 565.74$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.78 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked No | 48c | 544.52$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb134…af68backed No | 78c | 535$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…f90dbacked Yes | 24c | 512.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes | 58c | 509.98$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?this page
- Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.