TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac71…b290

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$316.33
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$116
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$560
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+170.3%+$930.91
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$529.01
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$295.51
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$569.65
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+150%+$600
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$500
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,521Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+119%+$1,809.86
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,367.66
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$929.97
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$920
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$750
Will Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,409.99
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+270.4%+$151.21
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$440
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,537Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+118.6%+$3,008.25
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$193.7
Will West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$280
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,078Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+37.9%+$408.91
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$340
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$249.35
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$259.48
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$678Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+107.1%+$726.07
Kraken vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,803Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+55.2%+$995.87
Islanders vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+104.1%+$281.31
Rangers vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$560
Wild vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$535
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$787.31
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,228Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+60.4%+$742.03
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$539.98
Utah vs. Bruinsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$509.99
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+122.2%+$54.79
Oilers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+117.4%+$540
Bruins vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,070Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+86.9%+$930
Canucks vs. Devilsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+122.2%+$1,100
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$321.12
Canadiens vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$440
Panthers vs. Starsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+127.3%+$560
Red Wings vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$360
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,127.44
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+50.4%+$335
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$313.33
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+43.9%+$305
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+104.1%+$1,530
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$393.34
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$630
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,013Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+97.4%+$986.67
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,260
Kings vs. Timberwolvesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$147.62
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,247Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+60.4%+$753.33
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-53.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+166.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$760
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+35.1%+$520
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$940
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$760
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked Old Dominion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,632Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+145.1%+$2,367.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$260
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.