TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$185,850
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$192,891

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,850 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e0…024ebacked No75c50,000$37,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,50018950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No74c37,835$28,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,671.9221154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes20c32,382$6,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,587.886,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Yes25c28,072$7,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,017.893633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes26c19,962$5,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1905324.5%13 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes25c7,356$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.221,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes25c5,836$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.037028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No79c5,267$4,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.252,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2503748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa0…488bbacked Yes22c4,507$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No80c4,337$3,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.3911162.2%69 W · 42 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c4,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0401,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75020448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No75c2,500$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6254553.3%24 W · 21 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+55.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes20c2,499$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9340150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23ac…caedbacked No76c2,256$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.49650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes25c2,192$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.781,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52011443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No75c2,000$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51039156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd5…ac33backed No76c1,950$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.441060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes3c1,780$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.128736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes25c1,522$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38036036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No75c1,269$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.3314147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes2c1,189$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7925329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Yes26c1,163$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.382114.3%3 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-50.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaddb…51adbacked Yes24c1,042$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes25c1,040$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2609242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes19c1,007$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.841,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72ab…edaabacked Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac71…b290backed No75c997.4$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.352646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7054…af6ebacked Yes26c961.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes11c922.49$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.484,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes24c826.5$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.361,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x658c…4c2dbacked No76c815.79$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes23c513$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9948150.9%245 W · 236 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010533.3%35 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No72c483$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.577176.1%54 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes25c419$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.991,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No75c417.33$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3335941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes10c370.39$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yes27c369.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.885543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes21c333.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6612042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes25c288$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7268942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes5c284.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4243241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.676053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes20c245.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.181,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed Yes21c240$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Yes22c218.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4813450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb841…3cfbbacked No76c210$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41070%7 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick73cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5219826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011446.5%53 W · 61 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016160.9%98 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes26c184.62$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fdf…0726backed Yes26c180.77$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x167c…a88bbacked Yes24c168$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.323644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes23c160$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.836954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes26c146.15$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3818124.9%45 W · 136 L-0.8wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No78c141.99$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7157744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc587…1630backed No75c119.84$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.964955.1%27 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No78c118.04$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.975754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked Yes22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257843.6%34 W · 44 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Yes25c112$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.148563.5%54 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Yes25c101.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.421060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f44…a810backed Yes23c100.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.93650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.675152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324238.1%16 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.752080%16 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2377336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6711952.9%63 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07ec…ba9fbacked Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203122.6%7 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206428.1%18 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb311…2b64backed Yes22c95.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.892832.1%9 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc5…3984backed Yes21c94.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Yes33c84.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59a7…a90dbacked No76c82.01$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac4…d675backed No76c81$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad07…a555backed Yes25c80.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5be0…c51ebacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No67c75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7522764.8%147 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Yes25c72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1816552.7%87 W · 78 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…8bdebacked Yes26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6af1…0b91backed No72c55.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.622630.8%8 W · 18 L-7.0wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-51.6%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x3d9f…0852backed No75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.333372.7%24 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick74cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3340157.6%231 W · 170 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.518251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No75c49.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3332453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes23c44.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2141040.5%166 W · 244 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2944…031abacked Yes25c44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115234.6%18 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa910…76cabacked Yes24c43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x691b…d267backed No76c32.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.89728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-50.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.329751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked No75c27.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.81369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.