TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x07ec…ba9f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-52.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$72.66
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$165
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$38.62
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+57.7%+$40.39
Warriors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Thunderbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 15 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+143.9%+$119.44
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will Hannover 96 win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+49.3%+$23.92
Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$71
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+57.2%+$28.61
FSV Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+47.1%+$17.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+103.3%+$103.32
Will Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13.31
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$25.85
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50.83
Will Brentford win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LoL: FRK vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 Winnerbacked FRK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$25
LoL: FRK vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winnerbacked FRK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
LoL: Oh My God vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3)backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$29.6
LoL: ZSM vs Oh My God (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+42.4%+$42.41
LoL: ZSM vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed ZSM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$31
LoL: ZSM vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ZSM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+212.5%+$36.13
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$168.27
LoL: Vietnam vs Cloud9 (BO1)backed Vietnam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100.32
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick55cpaid-55%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$194
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$122.58
Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+143.9%+$108.29
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+26%+$15.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lions (-8.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+83.2%+$10.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+55.1%+$220.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Auxerre vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+25%+$17.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.