NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x933cb4bea4ae2c4f8cc481651f9d7247b10c39e6ec00c3e35a063ed08dbb9fe0

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nuggetsof Nuggets, Rockets
Resolved: Dec 16, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $44,235
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $45,077

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,235 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets	49c	7,551$3,675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,876.72	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Nuggets	51c	6,044$3,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,945.7	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets	48c	4,476$2,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,131.97	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b4…a278backed Rockets	51c	4,082$2,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,081.63	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nuggets	48c	2,941$1,405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,536.16	1,451	49.7%721 W · 730 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets	51c	2,496$1,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,272.96	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Rockets	50c	2,407$1,203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,203.5	163	39.3%64 W · 99 L	-10.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Rockets	51c	2,160$1,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,101.73	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Nuggets	48c	2,085$1,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,083.96	240	53.8%129 W · 111 L	+12.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Nuggets	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	315	38.1%120 W · 195 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Rockets	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	390	18.2%71 W · 319 L	+27.6wins	+0.07per pick	11cpaid	+62.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Rockets	51c	1,500$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765	456	47.1%215 W · 241 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Rockets	52c	1,281$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666	235	50.2%118 W · 117 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Rockets	53c	1,280$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$678.4	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Nuggets	49c	1,020$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.08	489	57.5%281 W · 208 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Nuggets	48c	999.99$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.99	220	53.6%118 W · 102 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Rockets	52c	886.75$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462	158	55.7%88 W · 70 L	-9.8wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Rockets	52c	845.15$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.48	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Rockets	52c	769.23$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	152	44.1%67 W · 85 L	-14.4wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Rockets	52c	725$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377	195	47.2%92 W · 103 L	-9.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e07…c0d4backed Nuggets	46c	632.98$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$341.81	134	56.7%76 W · 58 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets	47c	530.75$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.58	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed Nuggets	5c	524.08$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.88	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+3.4wins	+0.14per pick	7cpaid	+190.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Nuggets	48c	523.94$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.25	500	47.2%236 W · 264 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22eb…7d8dbacked Rockets	5c	500$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets	51c	487.11$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.42	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aed…38cbbacked Rockets	51c	399.99$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	106	52.8%56 W · 50 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Rockets	49c	392.65$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.06	526	43%226 W · 300 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc72…17a0backed Nuggets	49c	328.99$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.79	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93a7…8db6backed Nuggets	8c	300$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275	44	13.6%6 W · 38 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Nuggets	49c	300$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153	491	42.6%209 W · 282 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ec…ba9fbacked Rockets	55c	300$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.5wins	-0.16per pick	43cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Nuggets	47c	255.88$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.3	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e84…768ebacked Rockets	52c	246.15$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	136	44.9%61 W · 75 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffb2…3bb5backed Rockets	58c	239.24$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.22	48	60.4%29 W · 19 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5093…dee4backed Nuggets	47c	213$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.89	102	55.9%57 W · 45 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Rockets	51c	210$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.1	548	38%208 W · 340 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Rockets	52c	210$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.2	368	54.1%199 W · 169 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Nuggets	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	366	49.5%181 W · 185 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Rockets	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	175	27.4%48 W · 127 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Nuggets	48c	199.98$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.99	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Rockets	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	66	59.1%39 W · 27 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Rockets	52c	191$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.32	446	48%214 W · 232 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Rockets	53c	189.99$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.69	786	52.4%412 W · 374 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40b…175fbacked Rockets	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-3.6wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf2d…1100backed Rockets	55c	181.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.73	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets	46c	157.93$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.54	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a28…c2e1backed Rockets	52c	153.85$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-4.0wins	-0.18per pick	54cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e4d…b087backed Rockets	55c	145.45$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Nuggets	50c	140$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets	47c	128.36$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.57	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Nuggets	49c	122.45$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.45	660	46.8%309 W · 351 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Nuggets	49c	120$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Rockets	53c	110.74$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.69	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Nuggets	47c	106.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.38	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Nuggets	47c	106.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.38	603	46.4%280 W · 323 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a20…af22backed Rockets	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Nuggets	14c	100$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.5	244	9.4%23 W · 221 L	-27.5wins	-0.11per pick	21cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Nuggets	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.4	634	27.3%173 W · 461 L	-19.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Nuggets	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Nuggets	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	94	52.1%49 W · 45 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Nuggets	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.5	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…fcf3backed Rockets	52c	98.08$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59eb…fa33backed Rockets	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	99	41.4%41 W · 58 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Rockets	37c	92.05$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.85	311	44.4%138 W · 173 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b7…c02cbacked Rockets	55c	90.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+4.1wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f20…217bbacked Rockets	44c	88.92$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.19	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Nuggets	47c	88.75$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.04	503	46.5%234 W · 269 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Rockets	51c	88.08$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.92	427	44.5%190 W · 237 L	-9.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Rockets	54c	82$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.28	87	52.9%46 W · 41 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Nuggets	45c	78.56$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.56	368	42.4%156 W · 212 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08cc…da60backed Nuggets	47c	75$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.75	82	48.8%40 W · 42 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a6…af86backed Rockets	54c	74.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebac…be55backed Rockets	55c	72.73$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	121	53.7%65 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6b2…918abacked Nuggets	49c	65$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.15	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Nuggets	47c	63.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.83	479	48.6%233 W · 246 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Rockets	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Rockets	30c	55.92$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdc7…31c0backed Rockets	55c	54.55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	87	46%40 W · 47 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets	47c	53.21$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.2	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Rockets	58c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	930	41.9%390 W · 540 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Rockets	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f2…9b10backed Nuggets	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	79	53.2%42 W · 37 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa916…4f30backed Rockets	53c	47.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	158	41.1%65 W · 93 L	-12.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6da…7e3ebacked Nuggets	47c	44.68$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.68	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-11.2wins	-0.23per pick	55cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Rockets	54c	43$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.22	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Nuggets	47c	42.92$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.88	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ca8…ddddbacked Nuggets	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	278	46.8%130 W · 148 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3d…73e7backed Nuggets	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ea…1069backed Rockets	52c	40.38$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.8wins	-0.36per pick	61cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Nuggets	48c	40$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.9	326	49.7%162 W · 164 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5748…7b81backed Rockets	55c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	147	51%75 W · 72 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed Rockets	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a5…fb44backed Rockets	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	125	61.6%77 W · 48 L	+4.4wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c86…288cbacked Nuggets	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	92	42.4%39 W · 53 L	-6.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb847…1974backed Rockets	53c	30.19$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeff8…1bcfbacked Rockets	54c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Nuggets	46c	29.14$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.74	762	47.1%359 W · 403 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Nuggets	49c	28.57$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.57	599	48.4%290 W · 309 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50fc…ba9abacked Rockets	54c	27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.58	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)this page
Rockets vs. NuggetsNuggets won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Over won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Over won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Over won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event