NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4db308e51a3406bbbadf15efe544084afffa9a37994ad20ae6ea843968bd4e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 50c | 29,255$14,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,727.57 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 27,155$13,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,704.03 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 50c | 13,372$6,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,686 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 51c | 9,999$5,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.26 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad2…90acbacked Over | 49c | 9,708$4,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,951.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 4,336$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.66 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 49c | 2,928$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.27 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…3551backed Over | 50c | 1,532$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.4 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 51c | 1,529$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.79 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Under | 6c | 1,503$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 7cpaid | +190.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 7c | 1,428$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…a339backed Over | 50c | 1,420$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…5862backed Over | 50c | 1,388$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 50c | 1,314$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.77 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 1,139$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Over | 50c | 590$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 10c | 491.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.31 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 51c | 489.22$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.5 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 50c | 357.07$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.72 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 49c | 309.98$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.09 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under | 8c | 298.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 279.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.64 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 49c | 277.24$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.39 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Under | 51c | 274.59$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.04 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 26c | 274.38$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.01 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…cd2bbacked Under | 52c | 260$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…b8dcbacked Under | 51c | 234.8$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 55c | 137.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 115$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 24c | 100.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Under | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…7d8dbacked Under | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…272cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7c67backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 51c | 97.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 60c | 92.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Over | 13c | 90$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 51c | 89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 58c | 81.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 41.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…a73abacked Under | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0efe…df51backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ed…1795backed Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Over | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…25dbbacked Over | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…7e25backed Under | 51c | 23.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked Over | 50c | 22.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…2b8cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5this page
- Rockets vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.