TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55be…a73a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST2955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$19.64
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+37%+$32.18
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$12.9
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$41.6
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+69.5%+$61.5
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17.15
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$29.5
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+58.7%+$22.2
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$28.5
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.3
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$36.5
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+44.9%+$12.4
Spread: Heat (-7.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+88.7%+$32.9
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+75.4%+$17.2
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$32.3
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+88.7%+$56.4
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+35.1%+$14.05
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+60.4%+$12.08
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+58.7%+$24.67
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$27.3
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+58.7%+$15.27
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+122.2%+$38.5
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.2
Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)backed West Ham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Spread: Aston Villa (-1.5)backed Aston Villa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Nottingham Forest vs. Brighton: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
Manchester United vs. Everton: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$22.4
Arsenal vs. Tottenham: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Newcastle vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$62.1
All 23 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+88.9%+$20.45
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+122.2%+$14.62
Will Osasuna win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$21.5
Spread: Real Madrid (-2.5)backed Celta Vigo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Will Valencia win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$28.8
Will Girona win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+108.3%+$15.6
Will Villarreal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$24
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16.59
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$64.8
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20.7
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20.1
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.5
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1275%9 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Athletic Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$27.76
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+66.7%+$21.11
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+38.9%+$18.67
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$11.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+112.8%+$26.5
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$16
FC København vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$27.2
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)backed Páfos FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$16
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+65.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+426.3%+$64.8
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50.4
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$98.9
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+75.4%+$77.4
Will Vitória SC win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+81.8%+$10.35
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+203%+$29.48
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+63.9%+$27.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$6.87
Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)backed VfL Wolfsburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+31.6%+$8.84
Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)backed FC Augsburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+44.9%+$10.33
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Spread: Borussia Dortmund (-1.5)backed 1899 Hoffenheim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
Borussia Dortmund vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Bayern München vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+112.8%+$21.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)backed Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
Senators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+69.5%+$16.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$27.2
Bears vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.36
Will Finland win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$29.6
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.