Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46e8b6994df4dae9fe5dfd81e39315270034211d5c9fbc4ad382cc7291488623
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liverpoolof Liverpool, West Ham
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed West Ham | 62c | 25,059$15,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,536.29 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Liverpool | 47c | 21,656$10,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,526.63 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Liverpool | 33c | 11,187$3,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,551.27 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked West Ham | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.86 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked West Ham | 46c | 5,003$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.88 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Liverpool | 39c | 4,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked West Ham | 60c | 3,769$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.11 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Liverpool | 39c | 3,622$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.41 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab0e…4b76backed Liverpool | 29c | 3,199$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed West Ham | 70c | 3,002$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.46 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked West Ham | 61c | 2,568$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.64 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liverpool | 38c | 1,304$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.49 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed West Ham | 63c | 1,100$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked West Ham | 61c | 906.01$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.46 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Liverpool | 38c | 900.98$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.62 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked West Ham | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Liverpool | 33c | 749.97$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.48 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Liverpool | 38c | 488.83$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.83 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed West Ham | 63c | 470$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.1 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…f319backed Liverpool | 39c | 391.31$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Liverpool | 30c | 335.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.67 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed West Ham | 12c | 333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +125%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Liverpool | 39c | 303.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.85 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed West Ham | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Liverpool | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…bd3fbacked Liverpool | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffb…9801backed West Ham | 71c | 247.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 69cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed West Ham | 57c | 209.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed West Ham | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…7e61backed Liverpool | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…8f5ebacked West Ham | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Liverpool | 36c | 168.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.58 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed West Ham | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed West Ham | 62c | 129.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…187dbacked Liverpool | 42c | 117.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Liverpool | 38c | 109.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.63 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Liverpool | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked West Ham | 57c | 99.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…8384backed Liverpool | 39c | 94.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0864…df33backed West Ham | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed West Ham | 58c | 66.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35eb…3d7fbacked Liverpool | 39c | 64.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…874abacked West Ham | 60c | 61.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Liverpool | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | -11.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed West Ham | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…05a1backed Liverpool | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Liverpool | 39c | 42.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a0…9b88backed Liverpool | 38c | 42.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked West Ham | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…a73abacked West Ham | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…1c2dbacked Liverpool | 30c | 39.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…2a41backed Liverpool | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe628…0024backed West Ham | 64c | 35.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…688abacked West Ham | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed West Ham | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed West Ham | 69c | 24.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…76c9backed West Ham | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed West Ham | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 165 | 58.8%97 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…e5a1backed West Ham | 64c | 18.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x855b…8dd0backed West Ham | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)this page
- West Ham vs. Liverpool: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- West Ham vs. Liverpool: O/U 1.5Over won
- West Ham vs. Liverpool: O/U 2.5Under won
- West Ham vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.