Premier League · resolved market
West Ham vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x645a5b221ac7d3f20a1ca6fcd66f4e75557f7e293682dcbce56285239a4683cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 43c | 86,573$37,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,082.47 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 39,600$22,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,028 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 57c | 17,147$9,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,373.36 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 58c | 16,377$9,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,841.76 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 14,543$9,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,082.61 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 6,678$3,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.39 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Over | 42c | 6,555$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.1 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 24c | 4,062$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.77 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 35c | 3,266$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 57c | 2,528$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.88 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 62c | 912.29$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.29 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 42c | 612$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.47 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4317…bd21backed Over | 26c | 571.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…6953backed Under | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 57c | 443.98$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Under | 59c | 344.32$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffb…9801backed Under | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 69cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfe…8aaebacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Over | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860c…b052backed Over | 12c | 170.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 56c | 160.19$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 63c | 112.73$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 42c | 110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Under | 60c | 99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…b283backed Over | 42c | 95.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 76c | 93.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83da…41f7backed Over | 42c | 89.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Under | 59c | 77.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 59c | 76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ce…77eabacked Under | 66c | 70.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 33c | 59.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 57c | 45.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Over | 41c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Over | 41c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…493fbacked Under | 56c | 28.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e12…dd1dbacked Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)Liverpool won
- West Ham vs. Liverpool: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- West Ham vs. Liverpool: O/U 1.5Over won
- West Ham vs. Liverpool: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.