Premier League · resolved market
West Ham vs. Liverpool: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7adef49ac279b5892f3b7409529c25dfe27928a7a40ca396e714fa6c419a6a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 54c | 18,942$10,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,294.5 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 8,495$3,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,043.64 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…c8b0backed Under | 58c | 4,949$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 43c | 4,028$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.35 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 33c | 3,511$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 15c | 2,556$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.43 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 2,066$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.16 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 1,675$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.03 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…e5f7backed Over | 62c | 1,620$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Over | 64c | 1,531$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.05 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…fb3abacked Over | 57c | 877.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.52 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4317…bd21backed Over | 57c | 522.89$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 53c | 464.67$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.72 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 15c | 443.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 41c | 403.63$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.84 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Over | 46c | 378.58$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.95 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Over | 64c | 322.48$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Over | 67c | 291.54$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.21 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ce…5e1dbacked Under | 17c | 230.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 15c | 133$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Under | 39c | 97.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 67c | 74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 57c | 70.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 35c | 68.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Over | 43c | 67.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…e5a1backed Over | 51c | 65.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 57c | 56.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked Under | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 67c | 46.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Over | 42c | 45.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…e6b8backed Over | 52c | 43.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Over | 46c | 35.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 37c | 33.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 74c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…ea3bbacked Over | 64c | 18.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham vs. Liverpool: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)Liverpool won
- West Ham vs. Liverpool: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- West Ham vs. Liverpool: O/U 2.5Under won
- West Ham vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.