TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed5d…ea3b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Tennis Championships: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$110.43
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Belinda Bencic vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+54.1%+$108.22
Set 1 Winner: Mboko vs Rybakinabacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+142%+$42.61
Qatar Total Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkaribacked Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+192.5%+$166.1
Rotterdam Open: Ugo Humbert vs Guy Den Oudenbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+33.3%+$12.67
Qatar Total Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$111
Qatar Total Open: Varvara Gracheva vs Maria Sakkaribacked Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+56.5%+$6.75
Qatar Total Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsabacked Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+53.4%+$6.91
Adelaide International: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.36
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+92.2%+$18.44
ASB Classic: Elina Svitolina vs Xinyu Wangbacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+25.3%+$24.62
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10.74
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$28.5
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$29.05
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+67.6%+$10.91
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$72.35
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+105%+$15.73
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$18.44
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$28
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+36.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.92
Exact Score: Girona FC 2 - 0 RCD Mallorca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+300%+$36
Will CA Osasuna vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.74
CA Osasuna vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$13.03
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+278.5%+$60.42
Will Valencia CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.86
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+300%+$30
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.08
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$39.35
Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16.93
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+75.1%+$8.92
Will Fulham vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Brighton vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+49.9%+$23.63
West Ham vs. Liverpool: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+56.3%+$6.5
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.43
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt vs. Benin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+170.3%+$85.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+123%+$28.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+119.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+119.9%+$16.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.