CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2da7ae4ac1e7cd7712dcd74305ac8e448b54a34098d55e2724ec67ab4cae9391
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,330,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,401,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,330,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 853 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 300,462$154,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,735.66 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed G2 | 48c | 130,862$62,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,813.92 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked G2 | 25c | 100,000$24,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,887.4 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 87,426$43,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,862.78 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbf…53bebacked G2 | 51c | 70,000$35,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,699.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 65cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked G2 | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked G2 | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb2…8586backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,499.97 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked G2 | 49c | 48,298$23,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,698.13 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed G2 | 50c | 41,220$20,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,498.03 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked G2 | 49c | 35,885$17,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,583.67 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…d09dbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 27,554$14,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,021.6 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…3373backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 25,070$17,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,029.11 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 25,000$18,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 23,902$11,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,997.09 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…7c9fbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 22,080$11,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,819.19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…2fe8backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 20,463$10,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,122.04 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…692bbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 20,350$10,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,116.27 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed G2 | 49c | 20,000$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,749.94 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.93 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked G2 | 50c | 18,997$9,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,477.78 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 18,963$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,963.06 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked G2 | 60c | 18,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,799.99 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked G2 | 50c | 14,350$7,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,175 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed G2 | 49c | 12,700$6,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,222.96 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed G2 | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked G2 | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed G2 | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.96 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 9,782$7,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.44 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked G2 | 44c | 9,425$4,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,172.44 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked G2 | 40c | 9,294$3,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,723.42 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 9,271$4,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,346.62 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked G2 | 49c | 9,110$4,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,455.02 | 757 | 58.3%441 W · 316 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked G2 | 50c | 9,093$4,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,577.76 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…75d7backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 9,025$3,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,251.49 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed G2 | 51c | 8,984$4,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,577.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 8,487$6,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.83 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed G2 | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 7,568$5,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.59 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 7,302$3,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,463.05 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked G2 | 60c | 6,623$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 6,376$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,188.21 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed G2 | 48c | 6,350$3,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,047.92 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 6,222$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110.93 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked G2 | 49c | 6,143$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.07 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 5,637$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.81 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed G2 | 48c | 5,555$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.31 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 5,245$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.3 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…9f90backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 5,206$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.96 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed G2 | 46c | 5,142$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.84 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 5,050$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.49 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed G2 | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed G2 | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed G2 | 50c | 5,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.97 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 4,600$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.92 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…119bbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 4,397$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 4,160$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.71 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…204cbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 4,115$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed G2 | 47c | 4,042$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.58 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed G2 | 50c | 4,026$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.32 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed G2 | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7df8backed G2 | 50c | 3,998$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.19 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked G2 | 37c | 3,930$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.01 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 3,715$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.38 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9619…f503backed G2 | 49c | 3,713$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 3,673$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.45 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed G2 | 38c | 3,508$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.87 | 617 | 37.9%234 W · 383 L | -22.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 3,294$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.12 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb20…d0bdbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 3,221$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed G2 | 49c | 3,200$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568 | 846 | 58.4%494 W · 352 L | +60.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed G2 | 42c | 3,182$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.62 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked G2 | 21c | 3,167$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.92 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed G2 | 34c | 3,136$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.11 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked G2 | 35c | 3,120$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.48 | 979 | 52.4%513 W · 466 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 3,120$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.2 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 3,062$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.18 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked G2 | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…5edabacked G2 | 50c | 3,015$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,900$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.51 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb76…4ac0backed G2 | 30c | 2,894$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,860$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9329…9d3ebacked G2 | 47c | 2,840$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…96febacked G2 | 5c | 2,700$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.7 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed G2 | 50c | 2,692$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.12 | 684 | 53.8%368 W · 316 L | -22.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…1450backed G2 | 59c | 2,674$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.7 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,600$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 2,523$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.16 | 652 | 50.5%329 W · 323 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,481$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.89 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked G2 | 49c | 2,388$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 2,386$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.22 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed G2 | 48c | 2,280$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.32 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,241$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.85 | 1,606 | 46.8%752 W · 854 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.