TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9329…9d3e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: UFC, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 57 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-56.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$790.49
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.87
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+203.9%+$606.16
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$440.25
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,036Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,035.81
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$301.4
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$647.56
Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.23
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$551.39
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,022.72
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.59
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+116%+$2,491.63
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$352.56
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)backed Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.19
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.51
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Katie Boulter vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$734.79
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.25
Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$145
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,941Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,940.84
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Rebeka Masarova vs Alycia Parksbacked Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,486Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,485.57
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$8,064Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.1%+$7,107.38
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+145.6%+$947.15
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+46.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$152.93
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$429.33
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$754.65
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,025.65
UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$785.71
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+203%+$1,015.15
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+161.3%+$820.03
Park vs. Aliskerovbacked Park · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$263.63
Klein vs. Rebeckibacked Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$192.02
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$492.69
All 10 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-15 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.06
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.01
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,844Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+145%+$2,674.27
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$623Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$623.12
Will Jiner Zhu win on 2026-04-04 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Women?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-03 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$284.56
Will Praggnanandhaa R win on 2026-04-03 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.62
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-03 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$302.97
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,061.75
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,541Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+40.7%+$1,034.45
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-47.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+46.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+83.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+276.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$962Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+236.7%+$2,277.06
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$779Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+316.2%+$2,461.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,837Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$945.75
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$870.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$946Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+39.2%+$370.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.