TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Dota2 · resolved market

Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$602,997
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$573,018

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $602,997 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5dab…22e1backed Yes12c129,714$15,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114,204.742544%11 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes40c71,371$28,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,795.4712460.5%75 W · 49 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No69c22,873$15,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,7828956.2%50 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Yes6c19,169$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,965.8619031.6%60 W · 130 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No17c17,292$2,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,854.223936.4%87 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Yes26c10,235$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,535.2122942.4%97 W · 132 L-24.6wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x99f6…37fcbacked Yes13c10,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,699.98742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+93.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No73c9,398$6,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,819.6713652.2%71 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d32…9dfcbacked No73c7,956$5,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,807.62862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+52.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa00…f736backed Yes14c7,281$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,279.722171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+38.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Yes68c7,029$4,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.6636150.4%182 W · 179 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed No79c6,669$5,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,240.4680942.6%345 W · 464 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No77c6,008$4,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,646.438432.8%126 W · 258 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes42c5,649$2,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,302.9613744.5%61 W · 76 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Yes43c5,157$2,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.341,82345.1%822 W · 1,001 L+34.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No79c4,425$3,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,516.892766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No76c4,277$3,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,267.194055%22 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc910…8bbcbacked Yes42c4,240$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,440.311756.4%66 W · 51 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes40c3,579$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.0978141.2%322 W · 459 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d9…7dbabacked Yes32c3,489$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,381.471172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01b6…7d7cbacked Yes40c3,360$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.871241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x515e…8309backed Yes42c3,349$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.55475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+74.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked Yes7c3,217$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,991.818041.3%33 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes16c3,048$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,557.2248739.4%192 W · 295 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9329…9d3ebacked Yes42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+59.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x33e1…b30fbacked Yes42c3,000$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.61825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-44.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0267backed No69c2,992$2,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.5430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No48c2,943$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.82948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes45c2,701$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.91560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked No61c2,684$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.713141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b8…1df6backed Yes17c2,647$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,197.061010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2568…51d3backed Yes22c2,609$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.6333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+51.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b4f…b7aabacked Yes11c2,525$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+828%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91b9…889fbacked Yes41c2,500$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.999444.7%42 W · 52 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63bc…92c5backed Yes7c2,500$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,316.9311245.5%51 W · 61 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No75c2,356$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,770.872466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82a0…14b3backed No59c2,221$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.442755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No78c2,170$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.51752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb357…a4aebacked Yes31c2,148$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.991258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a79…eedabacked No74c2,113$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,556.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe040…824fbacked No75c2,053$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed No59c2,047$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.266927.5%19 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d4a…0a8abacked Yes24c2,038$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.081758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2203151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes42c1,925$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.472969%20 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+39.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67d6…245ebacked Yes55c1,863$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c37…c3dbbacked Yes22c1,847$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+128.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa842…70edbacked Yes27c1,777$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No40c1,701$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.1315536.8%57 W · 98 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb67a…07aebacked Yes26c1,662$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.651631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes67c1,643$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.7355951.9%290 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe21c…b754backed Yes28c1,620$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1703278.1%25 W · 7 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+30.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3613…59c6backed Yes9c1,613$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.674721.3%10 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Yes9c1,500$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.998950.6%45 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cec…91cdbacked Yes9c1,477$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.922740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No69c1,442$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.27640.8%31 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked No58c1,432$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.3636141.3%149 W · 212 L-22.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00a9…36bbbacked Yes13c1,424$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.54742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No4c1,350$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No77c1,250$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.451060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed No79c1,245$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.254055%22 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd13d…18d8backed Yes31c1,221$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51bd…be2bbacked Yes29c1,184$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.821172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b03…d1f2backed Yes17c1,182$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9823253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8496…1cecbacked Yes27c1,172$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…5610backed Yes27c1,100$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+85.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d4…17bbbacked Yes21c1,093$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+383.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No76c1,089$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.072142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5df…f122backed Yes38c1,084$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.341266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+38.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe1a…0f22backed Yes17c1,029$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.41955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+62.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc96…2791backed Yes14c955.61$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.157048.6%34 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbbf…9f5dbacked Yes21c922.62$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+385.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd32c…a4c2backed No60c922.11$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e8e…4cacbacked Yes44c906$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.71540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Yes13c879.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.9931343.5%136 W · 177 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes58c874.6$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.1168445.9%314 W · 370 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed No79c863.68$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.75944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd20…d720backed Yes17c761.32$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+192.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcfb…2032backed Yes13c749.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.31425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+87.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes23c738.84$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.8811741.9%49 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x333f…3cd6backed Yes39c730.34$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.321163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcce4…ccd5backed Yes14c727.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+636.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaca…51d1backed Yes41c712.36$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.276366.7%42 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71c6…38a9backed Yes12c704.92$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+93.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb866…3302backed Yes16c672.24$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.482334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fc…5922backed Yes26c650$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.57251.4%37 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b4c…0499backed Yes15c645.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.51837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c0e…fb07backed Yes51c638.3$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.81656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69d6…62b2backed Yes12c622$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.181741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3814…17bcbacked Yes34c600$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3961050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa77…bf95backed Yes15c600$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51326153.3%139 W · 122 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6f…fbccbacked Yes8c599.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.9910739.3%42 W · 65 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec7f…29d7backed Yes41c593.77$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.45650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x542e…7981backed Yes17c593.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.65560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+99.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd679…7c88backed Yes17c589.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.181631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c9f…75cabacked Yes52c581.86$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.862166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1b…ad63backed Yes34c562.6$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+48.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd82e…7fc0backed Yes44c554.57$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.563050%15 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80e3…9234backed Yes37c554.1$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.085259.6%31 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaf51…8bfabacked No10c552.1$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.735749.1%28 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.