Dota2 · resolved market
Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd4caa8f7916cbae0f4b25a276cd4bf87db7146c7f86e84237b8402baf22e03c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $663,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $656,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $663,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 445 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 42c | 230,015$96,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133,916.19 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Yes | 59c | 170,008$100,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,385.3 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 58c | 100,000$58,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed No | 40c | 32,514$13,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,508.49 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…12ccbacked Yes | 58c | 31,578$18,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,267.41 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 43c | 22,727$9,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,873.94 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,399.99 | 1,823 | 45.1%822 W · 1,001 L | +34.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4f…a0e1backed Yes | 44c | 14,208$6,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,313.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 23c | 12,353$2,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.28 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed No | 57c | 12,198$6,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,247.62 | 452 | 39.4%178 W · 274 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…20ecbacked Yes | 61c | 12,026$7,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,383.73 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 49c | 11,795$5,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,836.6 | 239 | 36.4%87 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 70c | 10,859$7,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked No | 52c | 9,554$5,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,547.65 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 42c | 8,820$3,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,135.91 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…a684backed Yes | 72c | 8,297$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 47c | 7,141$3,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,336.15 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 33c | 6,613$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,406.44 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked No | 57c | 6,557$3,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.45 | 175 | 45.1%79 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 59c | 5,936$3,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…9ba7backed Yes | 46c | 5,878$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked Yes | 36c | 5,872$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.4 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…d3f0backed Yes | 26c | 5,574$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.44 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b39…7658backed Yes | 63c | 5,562$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 2c | 4,895$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 381 | 45.7%174 W · 207 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 42c | 4,693$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.55 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 55c | 4,279$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.54 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Yes | 68c | 4,250$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…6d64backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes | 55c | 3,513$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.13 | 137 | 44.5%61 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Yes | 71c | 3,396$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.28 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…39b5backed Yes | 27c | 3,165$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.58 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Yes | 39c | 3,093$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.48 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…51d3backed Yes | 66c | 3,050$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 61c | 3,038$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb95…d95cbacked Yes | 34c | 3,037$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 34c | 3,001$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.57 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1896…a7d6backed No | 60c | 2,816$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.7 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 47c | 2,812$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.16 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 78c | 2,709$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.36 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Yes | 57c | 2,630$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.05 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…a2b3backed Yes | 35c | 2,574$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 54c | 2,548$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…9ca8backed Yes | 39c | 2,547$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…babcbacked Yes | 57c | 2,469$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked No | 40c | 2,447$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.18 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…eab3backed Yes | 39c | 2,217$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.54 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…ee29backed Yes | 58c | 2,215$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.48 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 51c | 2,203$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd694…3fa0backed No | 75c | 2,203$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes | 25c | 2,155$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.85 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b6…7d7cbacked Yes | 29c | 2,091$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 43c | 2,049$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.48 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked No | 55c | 2,026$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.56 | 321 | 37.1%119 W · 202 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed Yes | 48c | 2,006$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.5 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Yes | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 44c | 1,984$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…25a1backed Yes | 59c | 1,957$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb16d…60b7backed Yes | 45c | 1,933$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…1dc9backed Yes | 58c | 1,890$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 33c | 1,845$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d5…0789backed Yes | 46c | 1,818$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…245ebacked No | 57c | 1,733$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 44c | 1,727$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.29 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 36c | 1,682$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 50c | 1,677$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e41…5932backed Yes | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 59c | 1,655$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.45 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd13d…18d8backed Yes | 59c | 1,621$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6d…572bbacked Yes | 63c | 1,590$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Yes | 34c | 1,577$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.6 | 805 | 43.9%353 W · 452 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 77c | 1,564$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.7 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yes | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Yes | 66c | 1,400$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.99 | 806 | 44.5%359 W · 447 L | -26.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed No | 40c | 1,350$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.39 | 809 | 42.6%345 W · 464 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 33c | 1,318$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.39 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1930…cc42backed Yes | 58c | 1,280$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 48c | 1,246$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.73 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 62c | 1,224$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.39 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…e2b0backed Yes | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…def2backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Yes | 55c | 1,190$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.25 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked No | 54c | 1,163$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.76 | 487 | 39.4%192 W · 295 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c6…d2d6backed Yes | 42c | 1,150$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.02 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c3…13e5backed Yes | 61c | 1,143$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Yes | 53c | 1,135$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.79 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed No | 73c | 1,119$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.87 | 190 | 31.6%60 W · 130 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7aa…d210backed Yes | 42c | 1,109$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.09 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…815dbacked Yes | 73c | 1,102$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Yes | 27c | 1,086$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.22 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 46c | 1,082$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 48c | 1,053$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…0b7abacked No | 59c | 1,000$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca93…3c97backed No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Yes | 26c | 999.95$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a8…2db7backed Yes | 41c | 989.97$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.89 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked No | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 914 | 56.1%513 W · 401 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb666…0dcbbacked Yes | 44c | 960.81$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…f1adbacked Yes | 23c | 935.13$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.74 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026?this page
- Will 1w Team Win The International 2026?No won
- Will Aurora Gaming Win The International 2026?No won
- Will BoomBoys Win The International 2026?No won
- Will GamerLegion Win The International 2026?No won
- Will HULIGANI Win The International 2026?No won
- Will LGD Gaming Win The International 2026?No won
- Will Nigma Galaxy Win The International 2026?No won
- Will OG Win The International 2026?No won
- Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?No won
- Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026?No won
- Will Team Resilience Win The International 2026?No won
- Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?Yes won
- Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?No won
- Will Vici Gaming Win The International 2026?No won
- Will Xtreme Gaming Win The International 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.